Fantasy Baseball Cafe Forums

by **thomasps3** » Fri Feb 06, 2004 3:28 pm

Hey guys...looking for opinions...I just picked up Rodrigo Lopez for $9 in a 12 team AL keeper league only and I was wondering if you felt he was worth keeping at that price. The offense in Baltimore looks pretty scary now, so I think he's capable of 12-14 wins, 4.3 era, 1.35 whip, 140 Ks...what do you think?

by **justinA** » Fri Feb 06, 2004 3:30 pm

$9.. way too much for him. I wouldn't keep him just cuz of the price tag.

PS: there is a forum for keeper questions.

by **tool069c** » Fri Feb 06, 2004 3:39 pm

I'm guessing about 15 wins...era around 4.5...whip 1.25...with about 140 k's lke you said...for 9$, I might keep him for the chance he does well...the lineup behind will score alotta runs, so even with a so-so era and whip, he could get a quite a few wins...

by **shortsavage** » Fri Feb 06, 2004 3:41 pm

Rodrigo Lopez pitched horribly in the winter ball this off-season :-t

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Rotoworld wrote:Dec. 8, 2003 - 3:10 pm et

Rodrigo Lopez allowed five runs in 4 2/3 innings yesterday to fall to 1-4 in the Mexican Pacific League.
Lopez has a 6.39 ERA in five starts for Culiacan. Things aren't looking good for next season.

I don't know about your projection tool :-?

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tool069c wrote:I'm guessing about 15 wins...era around 4.5...whip 1.25...with about 140 k's lke you said...for 9$, I might keep him for the chance he does well...the lineup behind will score alotta runs, so even with a so-so era and whip, he could get a quite a few wins...

Subtract 3 from the win column, add 1.00 to the ERA and 0.25 to WHIP then take away about 35Ks and you will have a more realistic Rodrigo Lopez projection.

Here is a well put summary of why you shouldn't pay that much for him.

mlb.com wrote:Lopez struggled through a serious sophomore slump in 2003 after a strong rookie campaign, finishing 7-10 with a 5.82 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP and 103 strikeouts. He was consistently dreadful throughout the season, and in all splits breakdowns, and continued to struggle in winter ball in Mexico after the season. Lopez lacks big-time stuff and instead depends on deception to get hitters out, and it's likely that hitters have figured him out. He may rebound somewhat in 2004, but don't plan on him doing any better than a typical No. 5 starter.

You would be nuts too keep him for $9 :-S