Steve Phillips just made the assumption that Ichiro is going to get 3000 hits as an MLB player...it's not out of reach but it leans more to a reach than a lock. If he played until he was 40 he'd need to average 256 hits a year, 41- 217 hits, 42- 189 hits.
If he plays until 42 I could maybe see 3000 hits as an MLB player, but I still think it would be a reach since he won't be able to leg out as many singles. But, who knows, he's 33 now and still lightning fast and Kenny Lofton can still run at 39. It will be interesting to see how long he plays and see if he quasi-breaks Pete Rose's hit record. Doing that would be just about as hard as getting 3000.