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DOES PUJOLS HAVE UPSIDE OR HAS HE PEAKED?

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DOES PUJOLS HAVE UPSIDE OR HAS HE PEAKED?

Postby BKeller » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:21 pm

Can Pujols get any better? Seems like the numbers can't get much higher. On the other hand, the stuff he's done has been in his first few years, when players normally flail. So I ask you, members of the Cafe, does Albert Pujols have upside?
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Re: DOES PUJOLS HAVE UPSIDE OR HAS HE PEAKED?

Postby NZF » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:25 pm

BKeller wrote:Can Pujols get any better? Seems like the numbers can't get much higher. On the other hand, the stuff he's done has been in his first few years, when players normally flail. So I ask you, members of the Cafe, does Albert Pujols have upside?


Of course he has. IMO consistency which equals similar numbers for years to come each season is upside.

The guy just does not have any weaknesses apart from the obvious lack of speed. His average slump over the past 3 seasons lasts about 10 AB's!!

Mr Consistency, you can bank him until he hits 30.
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Postby kentx12 » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:51 pm

I believe he can get much better.
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Postby Guest » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:55 pm

ya he can get better. BELIEVE ME
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Postby StLrEdBiRdS2004 » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:56 pm

that was me
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Postby mocabeenow » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:58 pm

"Mr Consistency, you can bank him until he hits 30."

I would say 40. just like bonds. But won't walk as much, just crush the ball!
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Postby Mookie4ever » Thu Feb 05, 2004 6:59 pm

The biggest red flag in drafting/buying a stud is volatility.

With Vlad it is injury. With some players you ask whether they can do it again or whether thet were a one year wonder and their bubble has burst and they will hit a wall and be the next Dunn or Burrell (you may have these concerns about Willis and Podsednik)

The great thing about Pujols is that he doesn't have to have a much higher ceiling to be worthy of a top 5 pick because there is a feeling about him that even if he does have a down year he will still be a top 10 player. He has a very low volatility and he is probably the safeset pick after ARod.
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Postby NZF » Thu Feb 05, 2004 7:13 pm

kentx12 wrote:I believe he can get much better.


Much better? On his last 3 season numbers that is a big ask
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Postby Pete O » Thu Feb 05, 2004 7:24 pm

Be a little cautious with the upside argument. There a rumors that he is actually closer to 30 years old than we think. I normally wouldn't believe this but with other players mysteriously gaining a couple of years, it's not impossible. And the consesus is that a player has his peak year at around age 27, he may be there now. Just food for thought.
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Postby wrveres » Thu Feb 05, 2004 7:52 pm

Pete O wrote:Be a little cautious with the upside argument. There a rumors that he is actually closer to 30 years old than we think. I normally wouldn't believe this but with other players mysteriously gaining a couple of years, it's not impossible. And the consesus is that a player has his peak year at around age 27, he may be there now. Just food for thought.



he is not 30 .... In order for Albert to be 30. You would have to believe that his father brought his 21-22 year old son to America and stuck him in an American High School. He had to feel a just a little out of place ... don't ya think? Why not stick him in a JR. College or just College.

Albert Pujols graduated from an American High School. My guess is he was not 22 when that happened.
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