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Juan Pierre's Stolen Base Potential in 2004

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Juan Pierre's Stolen Base Potential in 2004

Postby d18Mike » Thu Feb 05, 2004 7:17 am

Read an interesting analysis recently which noted that Juan Pierre's gradual reduction in SBs throughout 2003 corresponded with a trend that effected the entire team when Jack McKeon took the helm about 1/4 through the year. The theory is that McKeon is an old school manager who simply won't give the green light to his speedsters quite as readily as Torborg.

Now I remember that Pierre's SBs tailed off dramtically during the last month of the season -- I don't know how that factors in. But the potential McKeon factor over a whole year gives me some pause in terms of drafting Pierre as a means of locking up a near-top finish in the category.

But he still has plenty of years left in his legs -- Pierre, not McKeon.
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Postby CrimeDog » Thu Feb 05, 2004 9:49 am

He'll get 40+, but if you really wanna lock up steals grab Crawford.
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Postby StLrEdBiRdS2004 » Thu Feb 05, 2004 11:13 am

i say around 47 steals.
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Postby trevisc » Thu Feb 05, 2004 11:21 am

i'd say both should get close to 50
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Postby Madison » Fri Feb 06, 2004 12:45 pm

Pierre's steals by month:

March--2
April----8
May----12
June----16
July-----14
August--5
Sept-----8

Didn't McKeon take over in May? No matter when he took over, by those numbers, I wouldn't be concerned about Pierre's steals. I'm guessing 50 next year.
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Postby baseball genius » Fri Feb 06, 2004 12:47 pm

Both should be dominate, but I'd preffer Crawford in a later round.
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Postby kentx12 » Fri Feb 06, 2004 1:23 pm

baseball genius wrote:Both should be dominate, but I'd preffer Crawford in a later round.



I agree. Pierre will go before I am ready to take him.
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Postby justinA » Fri Feb 06, 2004 2:35 pm

CrimeDog wrote:He'll get 40+, but if you really wanna lock up steals grab Crawford.


i agree.. Big Lou is gunna be running that team to death, which bodes well for Crawford and Baldelli.. I see Crawford going for 55+, and Baldelli for 30+.
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