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Luck Leaders

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Luck Leaders

Postby bigh0rt » Tue Jul 03, 2007 7:34 pm

Hardball Times looks at who is appearing on several Top Lists for indicators of luck, for starting pitchers...

Read me...

Thoughts?
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Re: Luck Leaders

Postby samjerky » Tue Jul 03, 2007 7:42 pm

Too many of these statistics are having trouble parsing pitching style from luck, so a really good addition to the analysis would be change in (statistic) from career average.
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Re: Luck Leaders

Postby Mike Fetters » Tue Jul 03, 2007 7:44 pm

bigh0rt wrote:
Thoughts?



Not a good sign that Oswalt is one of the luckiest pitchers with the ordinary numbers he has put up so far.

Scott Olsen is a decent waiver wire option for the remainder of the season. Dave Bush also.
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Re: Luck Leaders

Postby mweir145 » Tue Jul 03, 2007 8:56 pm

I think Shaun Marcum just missed qualifying for this list, but he's definitely been lucky with his 2.86 ERA.

He has an 88.3 LOB% at the moment. I'm pretty sure that's the highest rate for any starting pitcher in baseball. Expect his numbers to regress.
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Re: Luck Leaders

Postby dclark0699 » Tue Jul 03, 2007 11:17 pm

I'll take my chances with saying Johan Santana is not the luckiest pitcher in baseball =).

I agree it should be done with their career numbers instead of major league averages...because some guys like Dice-K for example pitch poorly from the stretch....whereas others may pitch better.
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