Luck Leaders

[bigh0rt]

Hardball Times looks at who is appearing on several Top Lists for indicators of luck, for starting pitchers...

Read me...

Thoughts?

[samjerky]

Too many of these statistics are having trouble parsing pitching style from luck, so a really good addition to the analysis would be change in (statistic) from career average.

[Mike Fetters]

Thoughts?

Not a good sign that Oswalt is one of the luckiest pitchers with the ordinary numbers he has put up so far.

Scott Olsen is a decent waiver wire option for the remainder of the season. Dave Bush also.

[mweir145]

I think Shaun Marcum just missed qualifying for this list, but he's definitely been lucky with his 2.86 ERA.

He has an 88.3 LOB% at the moment. I'm pretty sure that's the highest rate for any starting pitcher in baseball. Expect his numbers to regress.

[dclark0699]

I'll take my chances with saying Johan Santana is not the luckiest pitcher in baseball =).

I agree it should be done with their career numbers instead of major league averages...because some guys like Dice-K for example pitch poorly from the stretch....whereas others may pitch better.