kemper5 wrote:I just do not see him doing anything close to what his average has been over the last 5 years. In 5 years he has averaged 28 HR's, 98 RBI's and has had a .287 ave. Now, with 1/2 the season almost in the books and fast approaching Vernon has to produce basically a 25 HR, 70 RBI's and a .300 ave from here on out just to even break even on his averages. Even though I hate to say it, I do not see this happening and see a very 15-18 HR, 65-72 RBI, .270 season which is far off his mark. He will have to catch absolute fire and not let down to put in his usual 30 HR, 100 RBI type season. Go Vernon
While that's true that he'd have to put up those numbers to provide the appropriate value to the team that drafted him all he has to do to provide value to the team that trades for him at this point is put up a prorated 28 hr, 98 rbi, .287 clip. And that's assuming that you pay full value for him.
I see a 10-12 HR, 35-45 RBI, .270 carrout from this point on. If I did not have him, Im not sure Id trade for him, I just think he'll be that dissapointing. I think we would have seen a little life from him by now. I just see a bad year in his cards.
Just traded Vernon/Beltran and Uggla for Arod/Cuddyer and Street..My days of Vernon are gooooonnnneee..Just do not see him doing a ton this year and like Cuddyer better at this point.
June and July are VW best month's statistically speaking, so I'm hopeful he'll turn things around soon.
He did hit .298 with 4 HR in April, so as bad as he's been it's really only been a stretch of 37 games which while significant, is still to short a time to write off a guy with his track record.
I've made my bed, now I'm going to have to lie in it.
Fritzenhammer wrote:June and July are VW best month's statistically speaking, so I'm hopeful he'll turn things around soon.
He did hit .298 with 4 HR in April, so as bad as he's been it's really only been a stretch of 37 games which while significant, is still to short a time to write off a guy with his track record.
I've made my bed, now I'm going to have to lie in it.
FH
You are really vouching for this guy. As a Jays fan and a Wells owner, I hope you're right 'cause he's been terrible so far.
by The Loveable Losers » Wed Jun 13, 2007 12:45 pm
JeFfReY4444 wrote:i traded wells for a.jones and i am happy i got him off my team.
I have both on my roster at the moment. The good news is that you've gotten rid of a player in a season-long slump. The bad news is you've just gotten one in return.
Fritzenhammer wrote:June and July are VW best month's statistically speaking, so I'm hopeful he'll turn things around soon.
He did hit .298 with 4 HR in April, so as bad as he's been it's really only been a stretch of 37 games which while significant, is still to short a time to write off a guy with his track record.
I've made my bed, now I'm going to have to lie in it.
FH
You are really vouching for this guy. As a Jays fan and a Wells owner, I hope you're right 'cause he's been terrible so far.
I've been through the numbers, and I have to vouch for him. We've seen what he's capable of, and there doesn't seem to be any tangible reason why he's in this funk. Looking at his career thus far, he's never been this bad before without an injury - the smart money says he'll be himself again at some point. The reality is that we as fantasy managers pay such close attention to a players performance that any extended slump starts to look like a career implosion, and it rarely is.
Of course the risk is I'm wrong, and the slump lasts all year, but I still can't see that happening, unless he's hiding some sort of injury problem. As a fantasy owner I basically have to throw the last 2 months out, and start fresh every day. As a Jays fan, I really hope I'm right too.
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by The Loveable Losers » Tue Jun 12, 2007 5:03 pm 
