In a typical 12 team mixed league, I could have seen him being a late first rounder. Last year he hit over 40 homeruns despite missing all of Sept. and could have been the AL MVP. I wouldn't have snickered if people had taken him before Ortiz and Howard.
I still would have taken Pujos, Reyes, Arod, Santana, MCab (my man crush), Vlad, and Utley for sure before him. I do think he's going to get hot and be a first rounder next year.