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bold predictions

Postby Humphrey » Tue May 08, 2007 8:46 pm

mcgee will have a better season than davis























...ok seriously

clay buchholz is already a top 15 prospect
mccutchen will not keep up with the rest of the '04 hs of class
billy butler will have a better hitting career than alex gordon
travis snider will enter 2008 as a top 25 prospect

good enough for starters?
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Postby PlayingWithFire » Tue May 08, 2007 9:17 pm

I'd prefer at least 15 or so.

I'll do one

Ellsbury will not be close to as good as Damon was. Peak season HR at no more than 20.
Elbert is the second coming of Oliver Perez or worse.
Butler will be a full time DH and will have injury problem late in his career
Brandon Wood will be a complete bust, I don't even see Troy Glaus in him.
Tim Lincecum's rookie season will be underwhelming, but starting at his 3rd year(or late in his 2nd), he'll be amazing. Will start being ineffective around age 32 and not a regular MLB pitcher at age 37
Pelfrey will be underwhelming period.
Luke Hochevar will develop into a #3 in the rotation, no more, no less.
Daric Barton will surprise everybody by developing power and have a better career than Sean Casey.
Matt Albers will be a sometimes erratic MLB #2, spectacular at times.
Gio Gonzalez won't develop properly in the White Sox organization, he'll be the second coming of Brandon McCarthy, but if he gets traded to Seattle or NL teams, he'll be just fine.
Eric Patterson will be better than his brother.
Kurt Suzuki will be a good MLB catcher right off the bat. Perenial .290 hitter with good OBP.
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Postby bigken117 » Wed May 09, 2007 9:31 pm

PlayingWithFire wrote:Ellsbury will not be close to as good as Damon was. Peak season HR at no more than 20.


If Ellsbury goes on the sauce like Damon did....
j/k

I don't dispute that, but Damon has had only 2 seasons with 20+ HR...one last year, his career high with 24, and another with 20 on the dot. So basically when comparing Ellsbury to Damon, scouts expect approx 15-20 HR a season, and Sox fans will be more than happy with 10-15 when he gets on base at a .400 clip.
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Postby PlayingWithFire » Wed May 09, 2007 10:23 pm

bigken117 wrote:
PlayingWithFire wrote:Ellsbury will not be close to as good as Damon was. Peak season HR at no more than 20.


If Ellsbury goes on the sauce like Damon did....
j/k

I don't dispute that, but Damon has had only 2 seasons with 20+ HR...one last year, his career high with 24, and another with 20 on the dot. So basically when comparing Ellsbury to Damon, scouts expect approx 15-20 HR a season, and Sox fans will be more than happy with 10-15 when he gets on base at a .400 clip.


I think he'll be more like 8-12 HR a year, we'll see, 20 is just me being safe
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Postby Is_it_the_shoes? » Wed May 09, 2007 11:48 pm

Its pretty easy to say when McCutchen is hitting .190 right now.

He has been coming around as of late, he even homered today. It will take a lot for me to sour on this guy.
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Postby Humphrey » Thu May 10, 2007 1:05 am

Is_it_the_shoes? wrote:Its pretty easy to say when McCutchen is hitting .190 right now.

He has been coming around as of late, he even homered today. It will take a lot for me to sour on this guy.


that wasn't my boldest prediction
but it's still better than that ellsbury one
anyone who thinks ellsbury
could be as good as damon in the first place
doesn't really have a good grasp
on valuing prospects
so attempting to make that kind of "bold" prediction
is an excercise in ignorance
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Postby Yoda » Thu May 10, 2007 9:17 am

Ellsbury is not known for his bat so I don't think it's a bold prediction.

I've posted multiple times that Butler will be a better hitter than Gordon. So have other people.
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