Pirates4Life wrote: NZF wrote:
Pirates4Life wrote:Especially in keeper leagues, go get him if you can.
How many keeper leagues last more than 1-2 years?
How many keeper leagues let you keep more than 15 players?
How many keeper leagues are NL only 20 team leagues?
I repeat, in 9 out of 10 keepers he is not worth picking up.
I guess it depends on the quality of the leagues you join. One of my dynasty leagues is in its 11th year, and my other one is in it's 4th. There's no sense in joining a keeper league if you expect it to fail.
It doesn't need to be a 15 player keeper league for him to be valuable.
And he'll have value well beyond any NL-only leagues.
Repeating something over and over again doesn't make it right. You're disregarding one of the premier hitting prospects in baseball, not just in the NL.
He's one of the Top 20 hitting prospects I agree but that doesn't make him anywhere near as valuable as any of the Top 20 3B currently playing in the majors. In keeper leagues yes, he does have some value but what you need to weigh up is how much value. In my experience the majority of keeper leagues bomb after 1-2 years. Sure there are plenty that go for longer but these are more the exception than the rule. The majority of posters on this site that want advice about picking up a guys are playing in normal redraft leagues. Unless they mention differently you assume it is a standard 12 team 5 x 5 redraft. I'm sorry but in these leagues no way you go anywhere near La Roche. Even with a keeper league are you really going to keep La Roche. Maybe in large leagues where you keep 15 or more. They are a rarity.
Just for your info, these are some of the Top 20 hitting prospects 3-4 years ago that mde it to the majors.
Even guys on that prospects list that have had reasonable success like Bobby Crosby, Khalil Greene, Kevin Youkalis, JJ Hardy and Adam La Roche are not worth keeping in almost all keeper league formats.
And don't get me started on the Edwin Jackson's, Ryan Wagner's, Matt Riley's of this world.