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Ben Sheets K Rate - ignore

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What's up with Ben Sheets' lacklustre K numbers?

Postby Doughhead » Tue May 01, 2007 11:08 pm

So far in 2007:

Game 1: 3 Ks in 9 IP
Game 2: 3 Ks in 6 IP
Game 3: 2 Ks in 5 IP
Game 4: 4 Ks in 7 IP
Game 5: 1 K in 3 IP (injury shortened)
Game 6: 3 Ks in 6 IP

Total: 16 Ks in 36 IP or 4.0 K/9.

His K/9 the past three years...

2006: 9.85
2005: 8.10
2004: 10.03

Sheets has been underwhelming in general, but his K numbers have been particularly disappointing. We're six games in and he's yet to punch out more than 4 in any of his starts. Last year, he struck out 4 or fewer batters in only 2 of his 17 starts--one of those starts he lasted only 1 inning before leaving because of injury. In the other, he left with one out in the third after giving up 7 runs to Houston (he then went on the DL immediately after the start).

I read earlier that he was disappointed in/worried about his Ks, so it's not likely that he's making more of an effort to induce ground balls or play to contact (a la Halladay).

This trend is a bit of a concern, as so much of Sheets' value has historically been tied up in his big strikeout potential. With the exception of opening day (in which he was masterful, but still only K'd three), he's actually been pretty average. Going into the season, I assumed only injuries would prevent him from being an elite SP. What gives?
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Postby Ender » Tue May 01, 2007 11:10 pm

His fast ball was in the mid to high 90's today with multiple 97 MPH's. He just isn't throwing his curve for strikes and since he's a 3 pitch guy and the change up is by far his weakest pitch it means when the curve is off he is off.
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Postby Yoda » Tue May 01, 2007 11:11 pm

K's will come. I'm just happy that he is on the mound and still pitching well.
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Postby Y`s Guy » Tue May 01, 2007 11:50 pm

Agree with with the jedi master here. We must be happy, first, with his health.
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Postby CBMGreatOne » Wed May 02, 2007 12:35 am

He's a quality pitcher. With age quality pitchers aim to be more efficient with their pitch count than they can be when they constantly ring up double digit strikeouts. It's unsustainable.

Eventually you have to base your game around pitching to contact if you want to have a long career. At least most guys do.
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Postby chipper » Wed May 02, 2007 1:20 am

I think he's finally learning that by getting guys out in less pitches, he can be more valuable to his team.

Strikeouts are great, but lasting longer into games and lasting longer in the season is what it's all about.
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Postby masterpinky0509 » Wed May 02, 2007 1:26 am

I have to imagine it's just bad luck, he hasn't had his curve and fastball working at the same time. In that start when he left w/ injury, he only had 89-91 mph on the fastball. Now he's back but his command on the curve is rusty. It also doesn't help that he threw the curve less in spring training to preserve his arm.
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Ben Sheets K Rate - ignore

Postby fantasyfiend » Wed May 02, 2007 1:56 am

if you couldn't resist good discussion about this issue is here: http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/foru ... p?t=280256
Last edited by fantasyfiend on Wed May 02, 2007 3:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Old_Style » Wed May 02, 2007 2:46 am

He's pitched 30 innings so far this year. I'm pretty sure his K/9 ratio will get a little better by the end of the year.
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Postby fantasyfiend » Wed May 02, 2007 2:50 am

he's pitched 33.

He has a career k/9 of 7

His last 2 seasons have been ridiculous with k/9 of 10+ and 9+

I drafted him expecting a k rate well above 8.0 (at the least)

After 33 innings, it is safe to start worrying, considering his career numbers.

I've watched 2 of his starts, and it seems like he's pitching to contact and not trying to put extra strain on his arm by throwing filthy "out" pitches.
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