I pick the guy in the middle rounds, at least I have the last few years. I was able to trade him off last year right before he got hurt. I think he can still put up great numbers in KC. That is a pretty good lineup and the pitching is still a bit weak in the AL central. He played pretty well in a contending setting in Cleveland, and if KC can stay in the race I think he can do that again. If Pena can't get into his head then no one can.
I look for a very good year from Gonzo. I think he still misses some games, but 400-500 AB's can get the the guy 30+ HR and a boatload of RBI, probably around 100, plus he usually has his BA hovering around .300. I'll go out on a limb and say 475 AB's, 34 HR, 110 RBI, .295 BA. He is 34, but I think he has 1 MVP caliber season left, especially if he is thinking hall of fame. A full season and 40 HR / 125 RBI is not completly out of the question.
Eternal vigilance is the price of integrity.