my criteria is what 5x5 fantasy numbers I think they can give me in their pre-arbitration/arbitration years(first 6 years), assume they don't get traded.
I'd rank them
Lincecum-will really lack run support, Giants don't have any good hitter under 30 and don't have any close to the majors in the farm
Hughes-will get run support, but will suffer the bad beat of the AL East, ERA over 4 most of those years, wouldn't be surprised if he has an ERA over 4 in all his pre arbitration/arbitration years.
Bailey-I think will have arm problem, but he has great stuff. I have lots of questions about him.
Gallardo-I'd almost rank him over Bailey, I think he's a safe bet to be good but not spectacular. Think what Jason Jennings did last year with a better WHIP and a bit more K. But consistently.
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