NHsportsfan's 2007 Daily Starting Pitcher Rankings

[NHsportsfan]

But now I need your input on two pitchers... I am in a H2H League and behind in wins by 1!

Here are the two pitchers:

Tom Glavine - B- @ Washington Nationals
John Smoltz - C+ @ Colorado Rockies

I would love to start both pitchers, as if both win their game, I would be UP by 1, going into Sunday's games! (but whatever you say, I will follow, without a doubt.)

Your personalized input, NHSportsFan?

I would definitely start Glavine and probably start Smoltz depending on the other pitching categories. Glavine has an excellent chance for a win and is pretty good otherwise too. Smoltz has a lower chance for a win but if you sit him there's no chance. Just be aware there's greater risk to ERA/WHIP than most Smoltz starts. In roto he's a borderline call.

[NHsportsfan]

Date: Sunday 4/29/07

Starter - Opp Grade
jsantana @ det A+
rhill @ stl A-
skazmir @ oak B+
aharang @ pit B
jmaine @ was B-
rjohnson vs. sf B-
mbuehrle vs. laa C+
cwang vs. bos C+
dlowe @ sd C
kescobar @ cws C
pmaholm vs. cin C
cvargas @ hou C
dbraden vs. tb C-
dwells vs. lad C-
bbannister @ sea C-
fcarmona vs. bal C-
cbaek vs. kc C-
mmorris @ ari D+
tohka vs. tex D+
kwells vs. chc D
mmaroth vs. min D
bmccarthy @ tor D
jbergmann vs. nym D-
wwilliams vs. mil D-
acook vs. atl D-
jarwright @ cle D-
jmoyer vs. fla D-
wobermueller @ phi F
kdavies @ col F
jtavarez @ nyy F

These rankings are based on mathematical calculations of projected performance in Wins, ERA, WHIP, and Ks. They are designed for a 12 team, 5x5 roto league. The ratings are less reliable for pitchers with few major league starts so take those with a grain of salt.

The projections are based pitchers' stats adjusted for age, league, park, and opposition. They don't take into account a pitcher's health, his history against a particular team or the health of the opposing lineup. And while they are adjusted for average park factors, they don't factor in a pitcher's or team's individual home/away splits or other splits like left/right, day/night, etc. So those are some other pieces of information you may want to compare with my rankings in forming your own conclusions.

Generally, I try to only start pitchers who have a grade of B- or better in a standard 12 team 5x5 roto league, though sometimes I will consider someone with a C grade. Pitchers below C- I would definitely recommend to stay away/bench unless you are in a larger league, different scoring system, or you are looking for quantity with little regard to quality.

[PlayingWithFire]

just replying here to thank your work and so this will show up in egosearch.

[CBMGreatOne]

What about Ollie Perez in about a half an hour?

He has a C+, but against Washington, there's a reasonable shot he'll have an A performance.

Of course it all depends on which Ollie shows up. I think I'm gonna roll the dice.

looks like op was right on with this game. i was very sad

Ollie pitched very well after the first inning. I think he's gonna be fine this year.

[NikeTxGuy]

Randy Johnson B- !?!

I am a bit skeptical on that NHSportsfan, although I know your rankings DO NOT reflect on whether they have come back from an injury or DL... By the way Bonds has been hitting, ummm, yeah...

However, with that being said, He DID have 7 K's versus his last opponent...

He's my ONLY starter starting tomorrow, should I start him or not even bother, with him starting at home vs. RED HOT San Francisco?

[NHsportsfan]

Randy Johnson B- !?!

I am a bit skeptical on that NHSportsfan, although I know your rankings DO NOT reflect on whether they have come back from an injury or DL... By the way Bonds has been hitting, ummm, yeah...

However, with that being said, He DID have 7 K's versus his last opponent...

He's my ONLY starter starting tomorrow, should I start him or not even bother, with him starting at home vs. RED HOT San Francisco?

Yes, it feels a little high to me too and I wouldn't argue with leaving Johnson benched until he pitches a good game or has a really favorable matchup. He has a low rating for ERA, but other categories are good, particularly Ks. And I have the SF offense rated a little below average.

I'm also less confident that I'm adjusting previous season's stats for age enough with pitchers in their 40s. It's something I plan to take another look at when I get a chance.

[NHsportsfan]

Date: Monday, 4/30/07

Edited with Chan Ho Park starting for the Mets.

Starter - Opp Grade
jpeavy vs. was A+
rhill @ pit A+
rhalladay vs. tex A+
jlackey @ kc A-
jbonderman vs. bal B
nlowry vs. col B-
bwebb @ lad B-
jsuppan vs. stl C+
rwolf vs. ari C
thudson vs. phi C
jpatterson @ sd C-
dcabrera @ det D+
zduke vs. chc D+
jlieber @ atl D+
solsen @ nym D
kwells @ mil D-
jfogg @ sf D-
cpark vs. fla F
vpadilla @ tor F
odperez vs. laa F

These rankings are based on mathematical calculations of projected performance in Wins, ERA, WHIP, and Ks. They are designed for a 12 team, 5x5 roto league. The ratings are less reliable for pitchers with few major league starts so take those with a grain of salt.

The projections are based pitchers' stats adjusted for age, league, park, and opposition. They don't take into account a pitcher's health, his history against a particular team or the health of the opposing lineup. And while they are adjusted for average park factors, they don't factor in a pitcher's or team's individual home/away splits or other splits like left/right, day/night, etc. So those are some other pieces of information you may want to compare with my rankings in forming your own conclusions.

Generally, I try to only start pitchers who have a grade of B- or better in a standard 12 team 5x5 roto league, though sometimes I will consider someone with a C grade. Pitchers below C- I would definitely recommend to stay away/bench unless you are in a larger league, different scoring system, or you are looking for quantity with little regard to quality.

[NHsportsfan]

Date: Tuesday, 5/1/07

Notes: As with all rankings, this does not account for Sheets's injury status. The ranking for Hughes has less confidence because of his short track record. I would recommend sitting him in Texas in a standard roto league.

Edited with updated stats from Monday games.

Starter - Opp Grade
bsheets vs. stl A-
tlilly @ pit A-
cyoung vs. was A-
cschilling vs. oak B+
csabathia vs. tor B+
chamels @ atl B+
bcolon @ kc B
phughes @ tex B
bpenny vs. ari B-
barroyo @ hou B-
jwashburn vs. cws C+
blooper @ mil C
shill @ sd C
malbers vs. cin C-
aburnett @ cle C-
cdurbin vs. bal C-
aloewen @ det D+
jvazquez @ sea D+
zgreinke vs. laa D+
mpelfrey vs. fla D
tbuchholz @ sf D-
lhernandez @ lad D-
rnolasco @ nym D-
jblanton @ bos D-
ruortiz vs. col D-
sponson @ tb F
tarmas vs. chc F
mredman vs. phi F
kloe vs. nyy F
ejackson vs. min F

These rankings are based on mathematical calculations of projected performance in Wins, ERA, WHIP, and Ks. They are designed for a 12 team, 5x5 roto league. The ratings are less reliable for pitchers with few major league starts so take those with a grain of salt.

The projections are based pitchers' stats adjusted for age, league, park, and opposition. They don't take into account a pitcher's health, his history against a particular team or the health of the opposing lineup. And while they are adjusted for average park factors, they don't factor in a pitcher's or team's individual home/away splits or other splits like left/right, day/night, etc. So those are some other pieces of information you may want to compare with my rankings in forming your own conclusions.

Generally, I try to only start pitchers who have a grade of B- or better in a standard 12 team 5x5 roto league, though sometimes I will consider someone with a C grade. Pitchers below C- I would definitely recommend to stay away/bench unless you are in a larger league, different scoring system, or you are looking for quantity with little regard to quality.

[PlayingWithFire]

Odalis only a F?

I'm benching him then.

[mrider]

Good to have you back NH Sports Fan.