I think he'll end up at about 30-32 hr, but its ridiculous to say he's a lock for 30.
He plays in a notorious pitcher's haven and has little protection in the line-up. Some of you are acting it would be a shock if he didn't reach 30, but barring injury- i would put his chances at a little better than 50/50.
OF: Soriano, Lee, Rios
BN: Atkins, Hart, A. Jones
SP: Santana, Halladay
RP: Putz, Papelbon
P: Lincecum, Ol. Perez, Bush
BN: Gallardo, Sheets(DL), P. Martinez(DL)