Studs and Duds

[WebHamster]

This thread contains comments on Saman Sepassi's Article "Studs and Duds", which was posted in the Cafe's Articles section on April 14, 2007. The full article can be read here.

[PlayingWithFire]

I really think Randy Johnson could be of some use this year.

Stats for 06

Player A
33 Starts
204.2ip
191hits
6.95k/9
3.25bb/9
1.58hr/9
1.29WHIP
BABIP of .270
LOB% of 69%
FIP ERA of 5.17


Player B
33 Starts
205ip
194hits
7.55k/9
2.63bb/9
1.23hr/9
1.24WHIP
BABIP of .290
LOB% of 61.8%
FIP ERA of 4.32

Both player played in the AL East last year and both player struggled with their ERA but got their share of W. Player A is widely being hailed as a breakout candidate or bounce back candidate. Player B...well, is Randy Johnson. Now I know Randy's injury is a concern, but besides that, there's nothing that suggest he can't go back to his glory in the NL

Player A is Josh Beckett by the way, and RJ beats him last year in just about every category.

[sportsguy138]

Beckett is also 26, and Randy is 43, and on the downhill of his career. Even though the move to the AL East had something to do with his bad numbers this year, after posting a shockingly high ERA, combined with the SLGO of .416, there has to be some concern. With one of his highest WHIP totals since '92, when he was back with Seattle, and his BB/9 increasing and opponents BA increasing over the last while, I don't see this guy pitching as well as everyone thinks.

[cobbs87]

Nice article man. I agree with every one of your picks. Those are all guys I targeted/avoided. Keep up the good work .

[PlayingWithFire]

Beckett is also 26, and Randy is 43, and on the downhill of his career. Even though the move to the AL East had something to do with his bad numbers this year, after posting a shockingly high ERA, combined with the SLGO of .416, there has to be some concern. With one of his highest WHIP totals since '92, when he was back with Seattle, and his BB/9 increasing and opponents BA increasing over the last while, I don't see this guy pitching as well as everyone thinks.

You like Beckett better than RJ? Beckett is staying in AL East while RJ is probably going to one of the weaker divisions. And 1.27WHIP really isn't bad

[teddy ballgame]

I'd have to say I like Johnson this year as well but good article.

[The Artful Dodger]

Nothing too surprising here, SG. I wouldn't mind RJ as a back-end starter for any rotation. True, age takes its toll, but even pitchers up there in age do find some measure of success pitching in the NL.

If you had written this article before the season, Felix would've been a great target on cheat sheets or in trades, but with two lights-out starts, he's going to be hard to acquire without having to deal a 2nd round caliber player in my mind. But I do agree that CC is a better target right now under the radar if you wanted to aim for an ace a notch or two cheaper.

[sportsguy138]

Beckett is also 26, and Randy is 43, and on the downhill of his career. Even though the move to the AL East had something to do with his bad numbers this year, after posting a shockingly high ERA, combined with the SLGO of .416, there has to be some concern. With one of his highest WHIP totals since '92, when he was back with Seattle, and his BB/9 increasing and opponents BA increasing over the last while, I don't see this guy pitching as well as everyone thinks.

You like Beckett better than RJ? Beckett is staying in AL East while RJ is probably going to one of the weaker divisions. And 1.27WHIP really isn't bad

No. I never said that.

Thanks for the comments.

[whoseyourdaddy12]

The duds are a little to ovbious, but the studs are great.