I debated doing this as an article but since I don't have a clue why this happens I figured I'd throw it out there as a discussion.
Aaron Harang is a pretty solid pitcher but traditional analysis of hr/9, k/9 and bb/9 would indicate he should be even better. Taking his career numbers and plugging them in to the formula
I normally use to project hits in play I came up with a projected hit total of 765. Harang however has given up 817 hits in his career. Taking out his 95 home runs given up that means that he's given up 722 hits on balls in play versus the 670 that we would have expected. That's 7.8% or so more hits on balls in play which is about a .320 BABIP or so (can't find the exact number but that's a good ballpark number).
I could almost see that out of a ground ball pitcher but Harang's pretty much neutral in that regard with a 0.97 G/F ratio
over his career. If he played in a hit inflating environment like Coors (not to be confused with a home run inflating environment which GABP definitely is) then I could almost understand it. The only explanation that I can find is that the Reds defense definitely qualifies as bad...but is it THAT bad? And for that many years?
At this point I'll open things up to discussion. Why do you think Aaron Harang sees so many of the balls that are put in play fall in for hits against him?