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Will Byrd breakout this year???

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Postby shortsavage » Tue Dec 30, 2003 5:08 pm

I picked Byrd up for $1 in my auction league. Ever since I heard that Tony Gwynn has taken Byrd under his wing, the young Phillie OF has been on my radar.

Given that Byrd hit .303 in his first full major league season, I do not think .330 is out of the question for him, but he may not do it for a few more years.

I am having trouble finding players that Byrd can be compared to...maybe that is a good thing. He could have a big season in 2004. The 10th round draft pick has already exceeded his expectations, who says he cannot do it again.
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Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Tue Dec 30, 2003 5:47 pm

I picked up Byrd midseason last year and he helped me out a lot, so he's on my list. I can certainly see him hitting .290-.310, stealing 15-20 SBs, and hitting 10-15 HRs. I like the balance in several categories, especially considering he should bat first on a team, so should get 90+ runs, too. Byrd showed decent power at A and AA (28 HRs in AA season), so it's possible he could show more power in the majors, too.

In baseballreference.com, three familiar names pop up as comparable players to Byrd--Baldelli, Podsednik, and Tike Redman. He's no Wells, but he can be a decent contributor on a fantasy team.
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Postby DK » Tue Dec 30, 2003 6:46 pm

LBJackal wrote:I also like the Phillies this year, they have a very good chance of winning the NL IMO, and might even be able to beat Boston or NY, whichever one wins the ALCS.

I think he just has the body type of Vernon Wells, I doubt he'll produce like Wells did last year.

A guy in my league bumped into him at a strip joint last season, and the next day he hit his first HR of the season, and second of his career. I guess that's his formula for success, LOL. Another guy was college buddies with Kevin Mench.......that's the only league I know of where Kevin Mench was actually drafted.


A friend of mine was also college buddies with Mench... strange world... B-)
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Postby DieHardCubbie » Tue Dec 30, 2003 9:29 pm

.300 15-20 HR and 20+ Sb is not out of the question...but his 2+/1 K/BB ratio concerns me a bit.....
Last edited by DieHardCubbie on Tue Dec 30, 2003 11:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby chinch sacs » Tue Dec 30, 2003 10:04 pm

DieHardCubbie wrote:.300 15-20 HR and 20+ Sb is not out of the question...but his 2+/1 K/BB ratio concerns me a bit.....


I will assume that that was meant to be 15-20 right DHC...

..it would be cool if he hit 45 HR ;-7
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Postby mikcou » Tue Dec 30, 2003 10:15 pm

chinch sacs wrote:
DieHardCubbie wrote:.300 15-20 HR and 20+ Sb is not out of the question...but his 2+/1 K/BB ratio concerns me a bit.....


I will assume that that was meant to be 15-20 right DHC...

..it would be cool if he hit 45 HR ;-7


definetly I drafted him in one of my keeper leagues :-D
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Postby DieHardCubbie » Tue Dec 30, 2003 11:36 pm

mikcou wrote:
chinch sacs wrote:
DieHardCubbie wrote:.300 15-20 HR and 20+ Sb is not out of the question...but his 2+/1 K/BB ratio concerns me a bit.....


I will assume that that was meant to be 15-20 right DHC...

..it would be cool if he hit 45 HR ;-7


definetly I drafted him in one of my keeper leagues :-D


:-? ...I don't know what ya'll are talking about..... O:-)
[b]Useless Trivia of the day[/b]

England's Worcester Canoe Club set the world record for paddling a hand-propelled bathtub. The 25 man team covered a distance of 55 miles, 425 yards in 24 hours on September 28 and 29, 1979.
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Postby HOOTIE » Wed Dec 31, 2003 12:33 am

shortsavage wrote:Given that Byrd hit .303 in his first full major league season, I do not think .330 is out of the question for him, but he may not do it for a few more years.


Byrd had a 36% hit rate. He was lucky to hit 300, 280 seems more normal.
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Postby Swinger » Wed Dec 31, 2003 12:35 am

Hootie, what is hit rate, and where do you find that stat?!
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Postby HOOTIE » Wed Dec 31, 2003 12:50 am

Swinger wrote:Hootie, what is hit rate, and where do you find that stat?!


Hit rate is Hits Allowed per Balls in Play. You exclude hrs obviously. It is in Shandler's Forecaster. It's not a magic formula for hitters, as you need to establish 3 year trends to follow it closer. But in looking, he had a 30% rate in AA, and 31% in AAA, so i think 38%, is probably not the trend.
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