masterpinky0509 wrote:...something like 220 IP, 200 H, 60 W, 175 K, 3.5 ERA.
I think those were simply over optimistic numbers. Look at some other numbers:
Year K9 BB9 HR9 PERA
2004 6.4 3.1 1.0 4.42
2005 6.7 3.5 1.0 4.55
2006 5.7 3.8 1.0 4.89
K rate declining over three years, BB increasing. PERA is projected ERA based on the peripheral numbers. As you can tell, he has been very lucky the last few years. In general, the last three years he has not been the great pitcher that his reputation says he is. Sorry. I just don't believe he will be that much more than a 4 for a fantasy team.