elltrain22 wrote:I just looked this up. Ever since Kaz Matsui was acquired by the Rockies here are his stats, then you tell me if he's worth takin a shot on. I would say def' so....
117 ab's-- 41 hits= .350 avg
bet you didn't realize he has been that good in Colorado. He hits 2nd, and ya know Holliday, Atkins, & Helton will get him in a whole lot. More reason why I am very excited about him.
I was aware of those numbers. But 117 is a pretty small sample. I doubt he bats over .275 if he gets 500 ABs. Aside from that, I think the only category he'll improve in significantly this season is runs scored. And even then not enough to make him worthy of a roster spot in most leagues. I'd remain wary of Kaz.
Hmm... In light of his numbers, I went ahead and pulled one more stat:
And continuing the excruciatingly small sample size analysis, his BB% this year is 10%.
Again, it was a small sample size, but a jump in patience like that isn't usually something that players just go through in spurts. Maybe the change of scenery did do him some good. I can't imagine it's the lineup he's in. I mean, nothing against the Rockies, but the Mets have a better offense.
Supposing he does increase his OBP and R stats, I could see him having worth in 14+ team leagues. His utter lack of power will keep him from ever being a starter in a shallow league, though.
See? This is why you don't post your sleepers.
I wholeheartedly believe Kaz just needed a change of scenery. NY ate him up. It happens to alot of guys. Now I think he may reach that potential everyone thought he had when he came over. I see him hitting 12-15 HRs, 100 Runs (Hitting in front of Helton, Holliday, and Atkins will help him with that), 55-60RBIs, 30 SBs, and .285. I've drafted him in the last round of every draft I have with a MI position. And now that I've come on and said that I await the imminant demise of Kaz Matsui.
12-15 hrs? He hit 13 hrs in his entire MLB career, which has 979 ABs. The colorado air can't make a "contact hitter" into a pull hitter.
When he came over from Japan alot of people expected him to be a 20 homers guy. I don't think it's out of the question for him to hit 12 dingers in 500 ABs with Colorado.
Therawdawg, there is a difference between expectation and reality. He was expected to hit around 20 hr per season but he hit half of that in almost 1000 ABs. I think the expectation needs to be tempered.
Even though he hits around 30 hrs in Japan, but after watching him play for the Mets for 3 years, he looks more like a slap hitter ala Ichiro than a slugger like Hideki.
Even with the Coors effect, I doubt he will get 10 hrs.