How often do great minor league stats NOT transfer to MLB?

[Tavish]

Okay, so back to the question...

Do great minor league numbers usually dictate major league success?

Moreso than bad minor league numbers dictate major league success.

Its really hard to put an exact number on it. You can look at it in the same way as you look at players who put up great rookie seasons in the majors. Quite often they go on to be All-Star caliber players, yet some go on to be Angel Berroa.

Angel Berroa's minor league stats were actually quite mediocre (.271/.322/.440).

I was talking about his rookie season.

[NikkiSixx]

Okay, so back to the question...

Do great minor league numbers usually dictate major league success?

Moreso than bad minor league numbers dictate major league success.

Its really hard to put an exact number on it. You can look at it in the same way as you look at players who put up great rookie seasons in the majors. Quite often they go on to be All-Star caliber players, yet some go on to be Angel Berroa.

Angel Berroa's minor league stats were actually quite mediocre (.271/.322/.440).

I was talking about his rookie season.

Oh, well the thread is about minor league stats transferring over to the majors so I just assumed thats what you meant.

[Tavish]

Okay, so back to the question...

Do great minor league numbers usually dictate major league success?

Moreso than bad minor league numbers dictate major league success.

Its really hard to put an exact number on it. You can look at it in the same way as you look at players who put up great rookie seasons in the majors. Quite often they go on to be All-Star caliber players, yet some go on to be Angel Berroa.

Angel Berroa's minor league stats were actually quite mediocre (.271/.322/.440).

I was talking about his rookie season.

Oh, well the thread is about minor league stats transferring over to the majors so I just assumed thats what you meant.

Yeah I wasn't real clear about it. Angel was one of those great rookies who didn't quite pan out after that. The same thing happens with the minor league to major league transition players. Great minor league stats are of course not a guarantee of major league success but they are a strong indicator.