I will go on record as saying right now that Jeff Weaver will have at least as good a 2004, if not better, than Kevin Brown.
Weaver will thrive in Chavez and find the less-pressurized atmosphere will do wonders for him. Kevin Brown will break down at some point during the season, mark my words.
Ooops. Meant to post this as a reply, not a new topic. My bad: flame the new kid!
Ok, maybe I'm reading too much into this, but does it strike anyone as odd that Kevin Brown pitched 21 starts at home but only 11 on the road? Given how pitcher-friendly LA is, what are the odds that LA was trying throughout 2003 to get Brown pitching at home to help his ERA/WHIP to make him more tradeable? Admittedly, his home and road ERAs were identical (2.40 v. 2.38), but the road teams he played were mostly crappy teams (Det, Ari, Cin, Mil, Mon, Ana, SDG, Fla (early, when everyone thought they stunk) or good teams in pitchers' parks (e.g., SF). The only good team he played on the road outside of the Giants (in pitcher-luscious Pac Bell) was Philly. Coincidence . . . or something more than that?
Given that his ERA in the AL was always substantially higher than in the NL and given where he pitched last year, are the Yanks getting a 4.00 ERA guy rather than a 2.39 guy?
BKeller wrote:Given that his ERA in the AL was always substantially higher than in the NL and given where he pitched last year, are the Yanks getting a 4.00 ERA guy rather than a 2.39 guy?
mm...no, I don't think so - his ERA+ (factors out park effects) last season was 169, which was good for 3rd in the NL. His career ERA+ compares favorably with Schilling's. In fact, he's essentially a Schilling who trades strikeouts for fewer homeruns allowed due to the sinker, and with much less durability (12 CG in '93, 0 CG past two years).
Paying essentially $18 mil for him (and further ravaging a depleted farm system) is extreme overkill though.