I like to hope that he got a lot of the slump out of him in 2002 when he was jerked around. I felt that he started to tail a bit right after the break (and at the time I traded him for Santana), but then he finished strong.
So....I think he'll be fine. Its early, and who knows what the Texas line-up will look like, but a guess would be:
310/360/520 32 HR 100 RBI 3 SB
The kid is definitely talented, and he could bat in front of A-rod, if he stays.
If I were playing third base and my mother were rounding third with the run that was going to beat us, I'd trip her. Oh, I'd pick her up and brush her off and say, 'Sorry, Mom,' but nobody beats me.
Leo Durocher, Brooklyn Dodgers Manager
I think he will be good again next year. He does need to learn to hit leftys a little better though. I'd say somewhere around .290-30-100. Now if Arod leaves, that could change a little. Hitting in front of Arod has some advantages.
Yes doctor, I am sick. Sick of those who are spineless. Sick of those who feel self-entitled. Sick of those who are hypocrites. Yes doctor, an army is forming. Yes doctor, there will be a war. Yes doctor, there will be blood.....
Hopefully instead of a sophomore slump, he had a "rookie" slump, based on his rookie year numbers. That Rangers lineup could look a little different next year. Which could have an effect on Blalock's performance.
I expect improvement from Blalock, and Teixeira as well. they could be quite a duo for some years to come.
He will be ok, but the problem is not really with him...its with arod. Its always nice to have arod hit behind you. But I guess if Manny comes, it helps a bit. The key is keeping him in that # 2 hole.
Although A-Rod may not be in the Texas lineup next season, the aquisition of Ramirez will probably be like a 75% compensation, and I think Michael Young's lead-off skills will span a decent portion of the remaining gap (in the case that A-Rod leaves), giving Blalock more RBI chances and catalyzing steady progression in his MLB career.
Michael Young (2002)
Age: 25
Average: .262
Runs: 77
SB: 6
OBP: .308
Michael Young (2003)
Age: 26 +1 Average: .306 +.044 Runs: 106 +29 SB: 13 +7 *he stole 30 in the minors in 1999 OBP: .339 +.031
Maybe Young and Blalock are having mutualistic affects on eachother. And, perhaps they will show more strength as they continue to grow at the major league level.
BLaock is a potential batting champion. If he improves against lefties he will hit .340-.350. In view of his age he ceiling is high. As a hitter he could be George Brett.
Going by historical norms, Blalock has a 67% chance of either bettering his production from last season by at least $5 or doing worse by at least $5. My money is on the -$5 or worse.
Going by historical norms, Blalock has a 67% chance of either bettering his production from last season by at least $5 or doing worse by at least $5. My money is on the -$5 or worse.
So, in effect, you are saying that Blalock will either be better or be worse in 2004. Thanks you for that insight. I'm sure we will all benefit from it.
Look, LCBoy, most people rely heavily on last season's numbers and that is usually a mistake. If that is obvious to you I'm proud of you, but it may not be for everyone. Of those who wagered a guess only you didn't have him about the same as last season, and since you wanted to usher him into the hall of fame already I thought that I should counter it with some reason. If you want to get smart with me that is fine, Boy, but don't expect me to take it with a smile.
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by kentx12 » Wed Dec 10, 2003 8:03 am 
