NewYorkMets7 wrote:I have not heard much about him hitting second this year...but I dont understand how it could possibly "hurt" his fantasy value...
1. His average wont change while batting 2nd, 5th, 6th w/e
2. He decreases in RBIs (slightly), but wont be a huge change because he can still hit in reyes
3. Homeruns will stay the same
4. He will get !!!ALOT!!! more runs...think about all of those doubles that will now turn into runs by beltran, delgado, or alou dirving him in
I think that his value will either stay the same or maybe go up in the dramatic increase of runs
Last year the average #5 hitter in the NL had 89 runs. The average #2 hitter had 107. So, you can expect about a 20% increase in runs.
Unfortunately, with the pitcher hitting two slots in front of him, the decline in RBIs is substantial. The average #5 hitter last year had 104 RBIs. The average #2 hitter had just 71. That's a 30% decrease in RBIs.
So, the increase in PAs may give him a chance to boost HRs and maybe in the #2 slot he can steal more and his BA should not be impacted. And, hopefully, Randolph is not stupid enough to have him sac bunt.
But, the #2 slot will hurt his RBIs more than it will help his runs.