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Postby blankman » Sun Dec 07, 2003 12:13 am

Siege1386 wrote:lots of wins because of run support, but not great stats otherwise is my prediction.


I agree ;-D
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Postby gypsyspot » Sun Dec 07, 2003 1:22 am

I think Lowe will be good for 16 wins with a 4.2 ERA and 120 Ks.
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Postby ramble2 » Sun Dec 07, 2003 1:31 am

Area51's wrote:I almost have to wonder if he was hiding an injury last year. His K/BB rate was 110/72 (1.53) WAY down from 2002's 127/48 (2.64).

He's definitely a stud w/ that nasty sink, but think he's lost some velocity.

Bill James book has some interesting Lowe tidbits:
Lowe threw the highest % of fastballs of any AL pitcher, 79.6
He had the 9th slowest average fastball ( 87.2 mph), BUT
as you know he's easily the highest GB/FB pitcher in the bigs w/ his 4.38( Halladay = 2.62; Webb 3.92 are next closest AL/NL)

With that sink, I just don't understand how his ERA was that high? Did more ground-balls-w/eyes just find there way through?


Anyway, in my book, he's a guy w/ HUGE potential, but also some downside too. Very tough to predict. His ERA could be under 3, or above 4.60.


Are those numbers from 2002? Do you know what his 2003 GB/FB ratio was? I'd like to see how Lowe's 2003 and 2002 sabrematic stats compared...
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Postby Madison » Sun Dec 07, 2003 2:36 am

I think Lowe will be fine as a 5th or 6th starter next year.
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Postby d » Sun Dec 07, 2003 3:39 am

As a probable 3rd starter for the Sox and with all the run support he gets, he could get more than 15 wins next year.
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Postby DK » Sun Dec 07, 2003 2:16 pm

17-8, 3.80 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3-1 G-F is my prediction.

But he doesn't get a no-no this year. ;-)
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Postby HOOTIE » Sun Dec 07, 2003 5:21 pm

ramble2 wrote:Are those numbers from 2002? Do you know what his 2003 GB/FB ratio was? I'd like to see how Lowe's 2003 and 2002 sabrematic stats compared...



3.92 g/f ratio last year
3.46 in 02 his big year

However, in 02 he had a 24% hit rate (30 average), so his era was helped alot by luck that year.
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Postby pkarr5000 » Sun Dec 07, 2003 5:45 pm

Madison wrote:I think Lowe will be fine as a 5th or 6th starter next year.


has the texas pitching staff gotten you that pessimistic? ;-)
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Postby Mr. Smithers » Sun Dec 07, 2003 5:49 pm

Lowe could be a good sleeper next year. If you can get him cheap in auction or late in a draft he is welll worth the risk. Remeber this guy probaly has the best sinker in baseball he could be a stud.
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Postby Madison » Sun Dec 07, 2003 6:20 pm

pkarr5000 wrote:
Madison wrote:I think Lowe will be fine as a 5th or 6th starter next year.


has the texas pitching staff gotten you that pessimistic? ;-)


I wouldn't want Lowe to be one of my top 3 pitchers going into next year for fantasy purposes. Maybe number 4, but I'd be much more comfortable if he was number 5.

He will do better than Loaiza though. :-D
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