I almost have to wonder if he was hiding an injury last year. His K/BB rate was 110/72 (1.53) WAY down from 2002's 127/48 (2.64).
He's definitely a stud w/ that nasty sink, but think he's lost some velocity.
Bill James book has some interesting Lowe tidbits:
Lowe threw the highest % of fastballs of any AL pitcher, 79.6
He had the 9th slowest average fastball ( 87.2 mph), BUT
as you know he's easily the highest GB/FB pitcher in the bigs w/ his 4.38( Halladay = 2.62; Webb 3.92 are next closest AL/NL)
With that sink, I just don't understand how his ERA was that high? Did more ground-balls-w/eyes just find there way through?
Anyway, in my book, he's a guy w/ HUGE potential, but also some downside too. Very tough to predict. His ERA could be under 3, or above 4.60.
If I were playing third base and my mother were rounding third with the run that was going to beat us, I'd trip her. Oh, I'd pick her up and brush her off and say, 'Sorry, Mom,' but nobody beats me.
Leo Durocher, Brooklyn Dodgers Manager