PECOTA question - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2014 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

PECOTA question

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

PECOTA question

Postby bigken117 » Fri Mar 16, 2007 11:10 pm

How often does the PFM update, and barring injury, are the changes really significant? The list of keepers for my league came out today, and I'm wondering if running a PFM for it and start ranking the available players with the leagues draft on Sunday the 25th - if there could be some major changes to certain players forecasts or what. I mean, I'm gonna do it anyways and see who's unprotected, but do forecasts change so much that I should run another one in a week?

Cheers.
Image

Jacoby Ellsbury - Sponsored by the Fantasy Baseball Cafe!

Play Pick 3!

Follow the Cafe on Twitter!
Like us on Facebook
bigken117
Bouncer
Bouncer

User avatar
ModeratorCafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerMatchup Meltdown SurvivorLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 12870
(Past Year: 254)
Joined: 15 Feb 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: posed in an awkward stance

Postby jfg » Fri Mar 16, 2007 11:14 pm

Sometimes there are some major changes. Most of them have happened already in the past two weeks (Randy Johnson is one significant change I noticed). Once positions have been named they adjust for playing time. So, it will only be a handful of players that get significant boosts, more than likely they will be prospects.
jfg
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicGolden Eagle EyeMatchup Meltdown SurvivorLucky Ladders Weekly WinnerTrivia Time Trial Monthly Winner
Posts: 6077
(Past Year: 169)
Joined: 4 Nov 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby cobbs87 » Fri Mar 16, 2007 11:55 pm

Hey I was just going to post. Where do you find Petoca projections? Does anyone have a link?
Image
cobbs87
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

Cafe Writer
Posts: 622
(Past Year: 2)
Joined: 14 Mar 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby LukeW9027 » Sat Mar 17, 2007 12:33 am

cobbs87 wrote:Hey I was just going to post. Where do you find Petoca projections? Does anyone have a link?


http://www.baseballprospectus.com/
Image
Blind Bidders Auction Keeper League- League Champ
Cafe Bums- Last Place
LukeW9027
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar

Posts: 2628
(Past Year: 2)
Joined: 29 Aug 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Getting swept away...

Re: PECOTA question

Postby Philliebuster » Sat Mar 17, 2007 9:01 am

bigken117 wrote:How often does the PFM update, and barring injury, are the changes really significant? The list of keepers for my league came out today, and I'm wondering if running a PFM for it and start ranking the available players with the leagues draft on Sunday the 25th - if there could be some major changes to certain players forecasts or what. I mean, I'm gonna do it anyways and see who's unprotected, but do forecasts change so much that I should run another one in a week?

Cheers.


I already printed out the PFM results for my draft on the 24th, just so I can add notes, and such. I don't think there should be any major changes, barring injury, but just run it again a couple days before and look for any major changes...you can just annotate the changes in your previous rankings.
Philliebuster
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1238
Joined: 28 Mar 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: New Jersey

Postby jfg » Sat Mar 17, 2007 12:50 pm

Last year they bumped up Josh Willingham quite a bit right at the end of spring training. I don't actually use the software, I just download the spreadsheet that has the playing time factored in (the one found right above where you put league settings in). Then, I put them into my own spreadsheet. The projections are good, but I have some problems with the value calculations.
jfg
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicGolden Eagle EyeMatchup Meltdown SurvivorLucky Ladders Weekly WinnerTrivia Time Trial Monthly Winner
Posts: 6077
(Past Year: 169)
Joined: 4 Nov 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby Philomath » Sat Mar 17, 2007 3:33 pm

c.young (of) moved down in the rankings... early on (my league pt settings) he ranked 11th, now he's 25th.
Philomath
College Coach
College Coach

User avatar

Posts: 219
(Past Year: 7)
Joined: 10 Jan 2007
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: seeking

Postby jfg » Sat Mar 17, 2007 4:20 pm

Well, when it first came out there wasn't really much accounting for playing time so I think a lot of veterans were bumped ahead of Young.

I don't really understand how they figure out prospects in the PFM because it seems like there isn't any rhyme or reason to it yet they manage to be pretty accurate. I wish they would mark changes with an up or down arrow though.
jfg
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicGolden Eagle EyeMatchup Meltdown SurvivorLucky Ladders Weekly WinnerTrivia Time Trial Monthly Winner
Posts: 6077
(Past Year: 169)
Joined: 4 Nov 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: PECOTA question

Postby frankadelic » Mon Mar 19, 2007 1:11 am

bigken117 wrote:How often does the PFM update, and barring injury, are the changes really significant? The list of keepers for my league came out today, and I'm wondering if running a PFM for it and start ranking the available players with the leagues draft on Sunday the 25th - if there could be some major changes to certain players forecasts or what. I mean, I'm gonna do it anyways and see who's unprotected, but do forecasts change so much that I should run another one in a week?

Cheers.


Is there a way to mark certain players as keepers in PFM? i.e., so they're excluded from the rankings and other players' values are adjusted accordingly?
frankadelic
Softball Supervisor
Softball Supervisor


Posts: 53
Joined: 2 Jun 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: PECOTA question

Postby Steve-o » Mon Mar 19, 2007 1:36 am

frankadelic wrote:Is there a way to mark certain players as keepers in PFM? i.e., so they're excluded from the rankings and other players' values are adjusted accordingly?


Yeah. Put their dollar amount (what they are kept for) in the inflation box then hit update.
Steve-o
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1879
Joined: 7 May 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Finally back home. A sweet 15 mi from Miller Park.


Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Abrekilore, hondo4mvp, NikkiSixx, TheTrith and 12 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Today's Games
Friday, Apr. 18
(All times are EST, weather icons show forecast for game time)

Toronto at Cleveland
(2:20 pm)
LA Angels at Detroit
(7:05 pm)
Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
(7:05 pm)
St. Louis at Washington
(7:05 pm)
Miami at Miami
(7:08 pm)
indoors
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
(7:10 pm)
indoors
Seattle at Seattle
(7:10 pm)
Atlanta at NY Mets
(7:10 pm)
Baltimore at Boston
(7:10 pm)
Chi White Sox at Texas
(8:05 pm)
Minnesota at Kansas City
(8:10 pm)
Philadelphia at Colorado
(8:40 pm)
Houston at Oakland
(10:05 pm)
Arizona at LA Dodgers
(10:10 pm)
San Francisco at San Diego
(10:10 pm)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact