SportsCenter: Pettitte more likely to sign with 'Stros

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Interesting. HR predictions for Sexson in Dodger Stadium would have been all over the map.

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Pettitte's run support numbers the last 4 years is so off the charts, he should spend a week in Vegas. Translation, Andy has been lucky, and shouldn't be close to his prior won loss record if he leaves NY.

And out of curiosity, just what are those numbers?

year run support per 9 rank in bb

00 7.61 r/9 2nd
01 6.46 r/9 6th

02 n/a only top 85 listed, so Andy was unlucky this year

03 7.04 r/9 2nd

Consider there are about 150 sp. What are the odds, that in 4 consecutive years, 1 sp out of 150, would place in top 6 3 times? Odds on placing 2nd, 2 out of 4 years? Only 2 other guys made the top 10 twice, David Wells and Aaron Sele, and neither placed top 2 twice.