chadlincoln wrote:I see Wainright having a great season. I'm targetting him in all my drafts. I see 17 wins, 180 K's, 3.4 ERA, 1.18 WHIP.
i'd love to see those numbers but i dont think he will strikeout quite as many. i think his k/9 will fall between 6.5 and 7. trying to be more efficient to last longer in the game probably means fewer strikeouts. his k/9 was 7.3 in 180IP at AAA in 2005.
i am not too worried about his transition to starting since that is what he was groomed to be all along. its somewhat similar to dan haren in 2004. he didnt seem to have much trouble going back to starting.
PECOTA and ZIPS like wainwright although i think they underestimate his innings. you can find some projections here