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My draft strategy

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My draft strategy

Postby Don G. » Mon Mar 12, 2007 11:13 am

I'm currently drafting #10 out of 14 in a head to head league with reverse order on even rounds. Is this a sound strategy?

Scoring
Hits - 1 point
2B - Doubles 1 point
3B - Triples 7 points
BB - Walks (Batters) 1 point
CS - Caught Stealing -1 point
E - Errors -1 point
HR - Home Runs 2 points (1 solo home run = 6 points total)
KO - Strikeouts (Batter) -1 point
R - Runs 1 point
RBI - Runs Batted In 1 point
SB - Stolen Bases 2 points


1st Round # 10- Carlos Beltran

2nd round # 19 - Vlad (doubtful though) so maybe Ichiro?

3rd Round # 38- Best available infielder (derrek lee or aramis ramirez?)

4th round # 47 - Ace pitcher (Zambrano, Oswalt, Peavy, etc)

5th round # 66 - best available speed (hanley ramirez?)

6th round # 75 - best available reliever

7th round #94 - best available pitcher

and so on and so on.

How's that strategy? I'm new to head to head but I think this is a pretty smart and safe strategy.
Last edited by Don G. on Tue Mar 13, 2007 9:58 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Postby Eagle Baseball » Mon Mar 12, 2007 11:26 am

I think your strategy goes in the crapper when Berkman goes #12-15.

This is why I like tiers. I would do something like this vs what you are trying to do.

pick #1. best available 3B. either MCab or Wright should be there.
pick #2. have a OF and a 1B teir ranking and take the best availabel here
pick #3. take the position you did not take with pick #2
pick #4. here you need to be flexible. what if the pitchers you have as studs are gone. don't reach

I know many don't like a mapped out draft but I do like it. I like to say like you after 3 rounds I will have a 3B, 1B and OF. I don't want to be searching for that kind of power for those 3 power spots late in the draft. I really think you need tiers though.
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Postby Don G. » Mon Mar 12, 2007 11:35 am

Hmm...definetly makes more sense. BTW....I think my 1st pick just went out the window. Looking at the scoring....Juan Pierre is worth almost 120 points more then Wright last year. Speed is worth a lot in my league so I may have to draft him first.

I may be looking at something like Juan Pierre 1st and then Wright. I didn't realize, until I did the calculation, just how much worth Pierre has (I'm going under the asumption that Reyes and Crawford are gone by the time they get to me). I do agree that Berkman pick may have been to high. Thanks for taking the time to respond.
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Postby Don G. » Mon Mar 12, 2007 11:42 am

I made a mistake...Pierre has about a 50 point increase over Wright. Depending on how things go, I may draft Wright with the 1st pick (his speed is developing) and then go with Pierre in the 2nd (instead of a power hitter) then get Lee in the 3rd. 2nd round is most definetly dedicated towards speed now.
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Postby mak1277 » Mon Mar 12, 2007 1:55 pm

Not helpful (I know) but I definitely don't want to play in a league where Pierre is more valuable than Wright...that's just stupid.
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Postby hot4tx » Mon Mar 12, 2007 2:26 pm

If there's that much variance in your scoring system, you need to load up some projections, and find out what the projected points are for each player. Then sort each position by points. Now you can go back through whatever base ranking system you have been using and adjust the overall rankings, taking into account the forecasted points and differential between top available player and either some baseline or the next available player at that position.

Take this new ranking as the one you draft from. You may find some absolute steals (like Chone Figgins at 3rd base might score more than D Wright if speed matters as much as you're saying).

Also make sure to look at how Starting pitchers and Relief pitchers score. I was in a league one year where there was no distinction between SP and RP in the starting lineups and saves counted so much that RPs scored better than SPs. So I drafted hitters only first and then went on a run of drafting only closers from round 7-14. I did well enough that the next year (redraft) they changed the scoring system.
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Postby pokerplaya » Mon Mar 12, 2007 2:31 pm

My first advice would be to find a new league. At leaset that's what I would do if it was me. I don't want to be in a league where Pierre outscores Wright by 50 points.

If you are determined to stay, you have no choice but to make up some projections and see who you want to target.

Obviously SB threats value go up immensly so you would be wise to try and trade up to get a higher pick - Reyes/Crawford, and then just draft speed guys throughout.
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Re: My draft strategy

Postby mak1277 » Mon Mar 12, 2007 2:36 pm

Don G. wrote:I'm currently drafting #10 out of 14 in a head to head league with reverse order on even rounds. Is this a sound strategy?

Scoring
3B - Triples 7 points
.
.
.
HR - Home Runs 2 points


Seriously? :-? Triples are worth 3.5 times more than homeruns? That's insane.
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Re: My draft strategy

Postby Dan Lambskin » Mon Mar 12, 2007 2:48 pm

mak1277 wrote:
Don G. wrote:I'm currently drafting #10 out of 14 in a head to head league with reverse order on even rounds. Is this a sound strategy?

Scoring
3B - Triples 7 points
.
.
.
HR - Home Runs 2 points


Seriously? :-? Triples are worth 3.5 times more than homeruns? That's insane.


i was gonna say the same thing. is Grady Sizemore the #1 pick
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Postby Rhydderch » Mon Mar 12, 2007 5:30 pm

1. 3rd base is not a shallow position, its likely the deepest.

2. You have to have point projections from your league and draft on that. It doesn't matter if you have guys who steal bases or hit homeruns, all that matters is you get the guys who get points. In your league, a guy who hits 10 triples is worth as much as a guy who hit 35 homeruns (everything else being equal).

3. Be aware of positional scarcity (2nd, C, SS) not 3rd.

4. If its head to head, and not knowing your pitching scoring system, I sense relievers will be more valuable than starters.
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