Draft Stratigies(the REAL draft)

[05worldserieschamps]

What are your guys' opinions on drafting players in the Ametuer Draft? Would you perfer to take a White Sox approach, and draft safe-bet, quailty players, or more of an Oriole approach and take High Upsider, risk/reward guys? Just wondering what you thought.

[Amatter32]

Both.

[High Heater]

Both.

agreed

[j_d_mcnugent]

what they said. if you just do one or the other you are turning your back on a lot of talent.

[05worldserieschamps]

Right, both is good, but I'm saying first round. I'm saying if you have a chance to take a safe-bet player or a risk/reward player? which would you choose?

[thedude]

If you are a smart team (and by smart, you are willing to pay the bonus demands), you can find guys who have high upside and are safe bets to reach it. Guys like Bruce and Maybin have high upside, but were pretty safe bets to reach there potenial. If you mean if is best to draft high upside highschool guys or finished product college players, then i think it is best to take the player avialable of either group, like the red sox do. They take the best player avialable (no matter the signability questions), which in 2005 was craig Hansen and Jacoby Ellsbury, who were close to ready college prospects. In 2006 they took a couple of unfished by high upside guys, in Jason Place and Dan Bard.

[j_d_mcnugent]

Right, both is good, but I'm saying first round. I'm saying if you have a chance to take a safe-bet player or a risk/reward player? which would you choose?

i take the best player available, whoever that may be. no draft pick is a sure thing. you reconcile a player's ceiling with his likelihood of attaining that ceiling and come up with some sort of rank or value for that player. then you draft the best player available. some years your system may tell you the best player available is the "safe bet" guy. some years it may tell you the toolsy player is the best available.