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Obama's Biggest Hurdle: Blacks Not Whites?

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Postby StlSluggers » Thu Mar 01, 2007 5:29 pm

I would be considered as part of the religious right, and I'm not even voting that way this time. I'm looking for someone to shrink government. Give me that, and I'll be able to handle a lot of other things that would normally irritate someone of my bent.
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Postby Coppermine » Thu Mar 01, 2007 5:37 pm

StlSluggers wrote:I would be considered as part of the religious right, and I'm not even voting that way this time. I'm looking for someone to shrink government. Give me that, and I'll be able to handle a lot of other things that would normally irritate someone of my bent.


That's basically how people should vote; I'd say policy is more important than religious affiliation any day, but there are still a lot of single-issue voters out there, on both sides. But your attitude is basically what's going to shape this election; are people going to make compromises to vote for the best candidate, or are they going to snub someone based on one or two things?
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Postby Amazinz » Thu Mar 01, 2007 5:39 pm

Did Kerry have any shot at the RR vote? Also, Bush got 93% of the Republican vote in 2004. So IMO this is a myopic view of that election to say that the RR vote put him in office. It's not false but you could take that idea from many different angles and make the statement true.
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Postby acsguitar » Thu Mar 01, 2007 5:43 pm

Amazinz wrote:Did Kerry have any shot at the RR vote? Also, Bush got 93% of the Republican vote in 2004. So IMO this is a myopic view of that election to say that the RR vote put him in office. It's not false but you could take that idea from many different angles and make the statement true.


Man I'm not allowed to talk politics anymore but I agree with Amazinz. The religious right may have won him the vote but you could say that about a lot of different factors.

The lesbian/Gay vote could have won it for kerry
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Postby Absolutely Adequate » Thu Mar 01, 2007 6:07 pm

My students don't know who Edwards is. They don't know who Hillary is (though they like Bill). They love Obama, though.

And kids' political views are heavily informed by their parents.

But, aside from my personal opinion, I think each party will once again nominate the most electable candidate. For the dems right now, that could be either Obama or Edwards. I think Hillary has approximately the same shot as Richardson.

And I think we'd see African-Americans come out in especially large numbers for Hillary or Obama in a general election.

Finally, does anyone think that Obama could get a large part of the hispanic vote? People whose parents or grandparents immigrated may be more likely to identify with him than we'd think. Perhaps we could see a larger latino turnout than in years past.
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