Ender wrote:Tavish wrote:Bonderman at #51 and the #8 pitcher off the board is way too high.
I don't know about that, last year his xERA was 3.16, he K'd 202 hitters and it took a high hit rate in the 2nd half to put his WHIP at 1.30.
I don't think I'd take him quite that high but I have no problems with him 9th or 10th. I'd rather have him than Zambrano(really down on him this year) and he's pretty comperable to Lackey who went in the next round. All its going to take for him to be a top 7 or 8 pitcher is more stamina during the end of the season.
The BABIP increase wasn't the only reason for the 2nd half falter. His HR rate came back to reality after a ridiculous 1st half and his walk rate increased back near his normal level. He also was the recipient of some of the best bullpen support in the majors. And that wasn't simply due to the Tigers having a tremendous pen, the other 3 main stays in the rotation all had much worse support from the bullpen.
Bonderman was around the 20th best starter last season in a 5X5 mixed league. Even taking away the pitchers that are injured heading into this season and banking on an improvement from Bonderman it is really hard for me to justify him being the #50 overall pick. He did much better value-wise getting Haren and Young 3 and 4 rounds later who are going to be almost exactly the same value.