A Smidgen of an Update
Here are the picks I made (the final day to submit them was 11/12/03), and my thoughts on the updated solidity of each prediction.
Miguel Tejada, Anaheim, Confidence 15
(I would say this is a 30% now)
Ivan Rodriguez, Florida, Confidence 14
(It looks like there is now 0% chance of a Pudge return)
Eddie Guardado, Minnesota, Confidence 13
(I'm still giving this one a 75% chance)
Mike Cameron, NY. Mets, Confidence 12
(A 70% chance)
Gary Sheffield, NY. Yankees, Confidence 11
(We all should agree that this one is about 99%)
Greg Maddux, San Deigo, Confidence 10
(I'll go with a 70% chance here as well)
Bartolo Colon, NY. Yankees, Confidence 9
(This one probably has about a 15% chance)
Keith Foulke, Oakland, Confidence 8
(There is still a 75% chance that he remains on the A's)
Rafael Palmeiro, Baltimore, Confidence 7
(Not out of the question, but seems unlikely 40%)
Javy Lopez, Chi. Cubs, Confidence 6
(This one is looking probable 80%)
Andy Pettite, Houston, Confidence 5
(75% Wouldn't Steinbrenner have wrapped him up by now?)
Vladimir Guerrero, San Francisco, Confidence 4
(This was wishful thinking, I'm still wishing 10%)
Kevin Millwood, NY. Mets, Confidence 3
(I am split with him 55%)
Sydney Ponson, Philadelpia, Confidence 2
(I am still behind this one 70%)
Luis Castillo, St. Louis, Confidence 1
(0%, now that he resigned with the Marlins)
Let me know what you think about my predictions for what will become of my predictions

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