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MLB.com Projections on Ryan Howard

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MLB.com Projections on Ryan Howard

Postby kemper5 » Sun Feb 25, 2007 1:22 pm

Looking at the projections today on MLB's Fantasy preview, I noticed they lowered Ryan Howards projections quite a bit off last years numbers. They shaved his Ave by 20 points, his HR's by 13 and his RBI's by 28.. Does anyone else think he will hit in the low .290's and take a pretty good hit with his HR's and RBI's?
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Postby Thursday » Sun Feb 25, 2007 1:36 pm

Howard, I think, is one of the biggest wildcards of this season. I don't think I've seen any two people agree upon what to expect for Howard.

Personally (it's gonna look like a homer thing, but so be it), I think he's gonna be just fine. DOn't expect 58 HRs, but 48, 49 for sure. He'll get pitched around sometimes, which will lower his HR total right there.

Some people are projecting him too low, which means, dare I say, some first round value if he falls to you.
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Postby cordscords » Sun Feb 25, 2007 1:47 pm

He K's way too much to keep the AVG that high, and he's going to get pitched around taking away HR chances.

.285, 45 HR is what I have him down for.
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Postby teddy ballgame » Sun Feb 25, 2007 1:49 pm

cordscords wrote:He K's way too much to keep the AVG that high, and he's going to get pitched around taking away HR chances.

.285, 45 HR is what I have him down for.

That sounds about right for me.
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Postby DevilDriver » Sun Feb 25, 2007 1:58 pm

kemper5 wrote:Does anyone else think he will hit in the low .290's and take a pretty good hit with his HR's and RBI's?

He will, especially on his avg.
Last edited by DevilDriver on Sun Feb 25, 2007 2:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby RJ24VC15 » Sun Feb 25, 2007 2:08 pm

I have him at .312 and 52 HR's.
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MLB.com Projections on Ryan Howard

Postby kemper5 » Sun Feb 25, 2007 2:35 pm

I see him as coming close to last years numbers. Id pull the RBI's back a smidge and the Ave a little, but not alot, but to the tune of..305 AVE, 51 HR, 125 RBI... Also below is what HQ and Luciani project for him (whom I personally follow closely)

HQ .303 Ave, 52 HR, 130 RBI
BB Notebook .307 Ave, 49 HR, 120 RBI
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Postby chadlincoln » Sun Feb 25, 2007 2:37 pm

They're being safe. Who projects 60 HR's? Most predictions I find are 'safe' projections, close to what the guy did last year or the mean for the position. He could hit 60, but nobody will project him there.
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Re: MLB.com Projections on Ryan Howard

Postby HOOTIE » Sun Feb 25, 2007 4:56 pm

kemper5 wrote:Looking at the projections today on MLB's Fantasy preview, I noticed they lowered Ryan Howards projections quite a bit off last years numbers. They shaved his Ave by 20 points, his HR's by 13 and his RBI's by 28.. Does anyone else think he will hit in the low .290's and take a pretty good hit with his HR's and RBI's?


I have him about .280 45 hrs 120 rbis.
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Postby j24jags » Sun Feb 25, 2007 5:03 pm

I have him at .295/49/125
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