Howard, I think, is one of the biggest wildcards of this season. I don't think I've seen any two people agree upon what to expect for Howard.
Personally (it's gonna look like a homer thing, but so be it), I think he's gonna be just fine. DOn't expect 58 HRs, but 48, 49 for sure. He'll get pitched around sometimes, which will lower his HR total right there.
Some people are projecting him too low, which means, dare I say, some first round value if he falls to you.