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A little suprised......Chris Young

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A little suprised......Chris Young

Postby J35J » Fri Feb 23, 2007 6:43 pm

Chris Young - SP - San Diego

I was just looking at some random things and just realized how dominate Young was last year in terms of not being hit very much at all.

He had a 6.73 H/9 which I think was the lowest last year among players with 170+ IP. I'm not 100% sure about this as I didn't look at everyone.....

Zambrano had 6.81 H/9
Santana had 7.17 H/9

Young also had a .206 BAA last year..... 8-o



Has anyone else really taken a closer look at these numbers......kinda took me by suprise. :-?
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Postby Ender » Fri Feb 23, 2007 6:51 pm

I like Young but don't get too excited about this, his hit rate against was 24% which is not something he can sustain long term, no pitcher can.
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Postby cordscords » Fri Feb 23, 2007 7:00 pm

Ender wrote:I like Young but don't get too excited about this, his hit rate against was 24% which is not something he can sustain long term, no pitcher can.


Agreed. He had a .237 BABIP and his FIP was 4.66

I'll stay away this year.
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Postby J35J » Fri Feb 23, 2007 7:02 pm

Ender wrote:I like Young but don't get too excited about this, his hit rate against was 24% which is not something he can sustain long term, no pitcher can.




No, I agree. The year before he was at a hit per inning. Just saying he had a heck of a run last year.....moreso than I realized.

Now only if he can get up to 200+ IP......
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Postby dabum1 » Fri Feb 23, 2007 10:46 pm

His LOB% (Left on Base %) really rose last year.

LOB%
2006: 80.7
2005: 69.7
2004: 70.7
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Postby GiantsFan14 » Fri Feb 23, 2007 11:36 pm

LOB% and BABIP tend to be categories of luck, while there are exceptions to the rule i just stay away from those pitchers who had what seem to be unsustainable low BABIP or a lucky LOB%, i'd rather have a guy like vazquez much much later who pitched much better than his stats would suggest (high BABIP, high K/9)
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Postby Gordo360 » Sat Feb 24, 2007 1:39 am

Out of curiousity, where do you guys find stats like BABIP, LOB% and FIP?
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Postby cordscords » Sat Feb 24, 2007 2:32 am

Gordo360 wrote:Out of curiousity, where do you guys find stats like BABIP, LOB% and FIP?


http://www.fangraphs.com/

One of the best sites around ;-D
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Postby Sp_Da_Man » Sat Feb 24, 2007 3:06 am

LOB%, FIP & BABIP?

If you keep it real simple he's a guy who was 3rd in whip & 6th in ERA. He plays in a pitchers park & is in a division where the teams aren't known for their offense.

For a stretch he was untouchable. What's not to like? He's not a big name so you should be able to get him at a decent price.
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Postby Yoda » Sat Feb 24, 2007 3:13 am

Sp_Da_Man wrote:LOB%, FIP & BABIP?

If you keep it real simple he's a guy who was 3rd in whip & 6th in ERA. He plays in a pitchers park & is in a division where the teams aren't known for their offense.

For a stretch he was untouchable. What's not to like? He's not a big name so you should be able to get him at a decent price.


Honestly, he had a great season in 06 but he was just as lucky as he was good. I am still unsure about his abilities and I do think he will be overvalued going into 07.
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