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Gary Sheffield

Postby rawhide » Tue Feb 20, 2007 2:55 pm

Anybody have any projections on him this year?
Dubious to see him perform well at Comerica, but he is/was a great hitter.
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Postby crazyforbaseball » Wed Feb 21, 2007 9:27 pm

500 AB
146 Hits
.291 BA
93 Runs
29 HR
103 RBI
8 SB
Image
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Postby Frenchiegangsta9 » Wed Feb 21, 2007 11:43 pm

looks about right to me
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Postby rawhide » Thu Feb 22, 2007 11:52 am

Thanks - seems reasonable, and probably better than i expected. Just wasn't sure with his wrist and that damn ballpark!
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Postby TheFantasyGuru1 » Thu Feb 22, 2007 4:11 pm

Even at Sheff's age, the man can still flat out hit. I would agree with crazy's predictions for his numbers.
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Sheff

Postby Eightan » Fri Feb 23, 2007 12:55 am

rawhide wrote:Thanks - seems reasonable, and probably better than i expected. Just wasn't sure with his wrist and that damn ballpark!


he's a right hand hitter who's been hitting in Yankee Stadium the last couple of years. If he can bang out 30 plus homers there, he can do it in Comerica.

I'd be more concerned about the wrist injury then the big park factor IMO.
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Postby JustAnotherYanksFan » Sat Feb 24, 2007 5:53 pm

You can find some more projections in this thread.
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Postby negola_d » Sat Mar 10, 2007 6:06 pm

Seems like everyone is high on Sheff.
Not me.
I checked his stats and I saw something disturbing.
First I noted that he was batting way better at Yankee stadium as a Yankee. So I dug a bit deeper as I was thinkin that he might be home happy, but his last year in Atlanta he was hittin way better on the road. So it must be Yankee Stadium and the terrible AL East pitching that ranked at the buttom.

in 2005 in his last healthy season he was hitting like a stud should
170/584
.291
34 HR
123 RBI
104 Runs

while
vs AL EAST opponents he hit a mindblowing
85/269
24 HR
82 RBI
51 Runs

but vs AL CENTRAL opponents (detroit excluded) he hit only
26/90
4 HR
13 RBI
18 Run

and did not hit well at all in Comerica Park!
2005 - 3/13 0 HR 3 RBI 0 Run
2004 - 4/17 1 HR 3 RBI 1 Run
while he Tigers Pitching staff had an ERA of 4.51 in 2005 and 4.93 in 2004!


so projecting those #s to this season would be (if he stays healthy and home park factor is not considered)

vs AL Central
74/260
12 HR
35 RBI
46 Runs (it would project to 54, but that wont happen)

vs AL East (projection is incl Yankees pitching rated as avg AL pitching)
40/140
9 HR
37 RBI
30 Run

vs AL West and NL teams combined I project #s assuming that he'll play the outfield vs the NL
43/160
6 HR
24 RBI
26 Runs

so its still not that bad, but if the park factor plays a role, then his #'s will be worse. I'd say take off 6-7%.

IMO his line will look like this:
157/560
.280
26 HR
89 RBI
96 Runs
but he'll get his 8-9 SB's.
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Postby x_Momentum » Sat Mar 10, 2007 6:29 pm

I happen to have sheffy on one of my fantasy teams and regardless the stats from prior years, whether he hit well at comerica or not. I still feel as if he has a great year ahead of him as long as he can stay healthy.
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Postby BillyHallDisciple » Sat Mar 10, 2007 10:36 pm

I'm a Sheff fan, but that was very well-researched by negola_d. It'll be interesting to see if those projections are right on.
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