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Josh Fields

Postby dicehound » Wed Feb 14, 2007 6:43 pm

Does he get playing time in Chicago this year? Crede has a bad back, and with Pods down with injury Fields has been working out in LF too. He strikes out a ton, but he's been working hard this offseason from what I hear. What can we expect from this former Big 12 quarterback?
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Postby 05worldserieschamps » Wed Feb 14, 2007 11:06 pm

This is a hard one. He is without any shadow of a doubt ready to play and produce in the Big Leagues. But Crede is in his way. You mentioned the Injury to Pods, but that's a big reason why we signed Erstad. We really need a speedster at the start and Fields doesn't provide. But I think he will have a great Spring, becasue Like you said, he has been working hard, and get playing time in LF and SS(ecpecially with Uribe's offseason troubles and avg. dip last year). I honestly think he will finish 2nd in the ROY voting behind Alex Gordon.

.284 AVG, 24 HR, 88 RBI, 79 R, .398 OBP
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Postby Steve-o » Thu Feb 15, 2007 1:21 pm

05worldserieschamps wrote:This is a hard one. He is without any shadow of a doubt ready to play and produce in the Big Leagues. But Crede is in his way. You mentioned the Injury to Pods, but that's a big reason why we signed Erstad. We really need a speedster at the start and Fields doesn't provide. But I think he will have a great Spring, becasue Like you said, he has been working hard, and get playing time in LF and SS(ecpecially with Uribe's offseason troubles and avg. dip last year). I honestly think he will finish 2nd in the ROY voting behind Alex Gordon.

.284 AVG, 24 HR, 88 RBI, 79 R, .398 OBP


16 players in all of baseball had an OBP that high last year and only one of them had a Avg lower then what you are projecting there (Giambi). His career BB/K rate in AA and AAA is 109/278. No freakin' way his OBP is that high.

.265, 20, 70, 65, with a .335 OBP is a fairly reasonable expectation IMO.

I do think he finds PT though. He is just so much better then their other OF options.
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Postby 05worldserieschamps » Thu Feb 15, 2007 9:47 pm

My bad, i meant .388. Maybe still a little high, but i think because of his big bat he will get walked. ill adjust to about .343.
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Postby Steve-o » Fri Feb 16, 2007 10:36 am

05worldserieschamps wrote:My bad, i meant .388. Maybe still a little high, but i think because of his big bat he will get walked. ill adjust to about .343.


So you just let me talk .050 pts off his OBP in your rankings? That's quite a dip. Just curious, but where are you getting your numbers?

Get a projection set (either make your own or download one somewhere and adjust for what you believe) and stick to your guns. When you make adjustments, do it for a good reason and think about it.

The only reason I am being so harsh is because I saw some of your posts over in the 2007 prediction forum, and I thought all your numbers were high there too. Plus you were rude to some people whose opinion I respect.
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Postby 05worldserieschamps » Fri Feb 16, 2007 11:15 am

I don't think Im have been or was being rude to anyone. I think I sometimes disagree with someone and don't mind telling them, but I wouldn't mind them telling me the same thing back. Give me some of examples of when you think I was "rude" to them.

And my predictions as a whole were not "high" even on Fields. I really believe he will have a good season. I didn't understand that so few people had that high of and OBP and appreciate you pointing that out.

And I don't simply "download numbers" and use them as my own. I get my own numbers based on what Ive seen them produce at. Also, I would most likely stand by all of my predictions on the 2007 forum, in this case I simply went a little to high on a prediction for a rookie. It really isn't that big of deal.

But again, since fantasy baseball is based on facts and backing up opinions, i would like for you to give me examples of when I have been rude to anyone.
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Postby dicehound » Fri Feb 16, 2007 1:12 pm

05worldserieschamps wrote:.284 AVG, 24 HR, 88 RBI, 79 R, .398 OBP


This is by far the most overly optimistic projection of Fields I've ever seen. I'd love it if you were right but I'm detecting a slight bit of homerism on this one!
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Postby 05worldserieschamps » Sat Feb 17, 2007 12:58 am

Right, I understand that it is very high for a strikeout prone rookie. But I really like this guy alot and feel if, and only if, he produces well in Spring Training can he put up such numbers. With a below average spring, we won't get the PT to do that.
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Postby mcqfesijiba » Sat Feb 17, 2007 7:23 pm

I said this in another thread, Fields still needs to work on his K issues and definitely his defense. The White Sox in LF will be unspectacular whether or not is Pods or Erstad out there, so the opportunities may come. Don't forget about the #1 prospect the White Sox have who also plays OF and has had success at AAA. His name is Ryan Sweeney. He will be in the mix, too. Like Fields, he could use more PT in AAA, but he's a better defensive OF.
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Postby 05worldserieschamps » Sun Feb 18, 2007 12:08 am

Right, but don't forget about that other OF named Brain Anderson. He hovered around the Mendoza Line most of last year, and any more struggles, and that's where Sweeney goes.
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