Pogotheostrich wrote:When I was looking at Nomo for the mock draft I noticed something odd. Here is his last 3 years.
Year K ERA
2001 220 4.50
2002 193 3.39
2003 177 3.09
Anyone have any idea why this is? The rest of his numbers are pretty similar year to year.
Don't have the 03 numbers yet. But lets look at 01 and 02. 30% is average hit rate, and 75%, average strand rate.
01 4.50 era 30% hit rate 70% strand rate
Expected era 3.96
02 3.39 era 28% hit rate 78% strand rate
expected era 3.83
As you can see, his expected era is pretty close, although his actual era was quite different from 4.50 to 3.39
In 01, the bullpen killed his era, with a lousy 70% strand rate. He was unlucky in 01.
In 02, his 28% hit rate, favors helping era, while a 78% strand rate, was quite nice. What this suggests, was he was lucky in his hit rate, and the pen stranding runners, helping his era.
On a side note. In a non Dodger uniform, hes never posted a era better then 4.25. I have a feeling, his hit rate, and strand rate were sweet, to post a 3.09 era this year.