The Loveable Losers wrote:I projected this team using Rotowire's projections and my Excel projection tool based on GTWMA's work with examining loads of 12 team standard leagues to find the percentile's for each statistic. If this isn't a standard 12 team 5x5 roto league your mileage may vary.
#'s R: 868 HR: 233 RBI: 853 SB: 136 AVE: 295
%tile R: 70 HR: 70 RBI: 70 SB: 80 AVE: 100
Points R: 9 HR: 9 RBI: 9 SB: 10 AVE: 12 Offense: 44 - 49
#'s W: 89 SV: 4 K: 1088 ERA: 3.63 WHIP: 1.265
%tile W: 70 SV: 0 K: 70 ERA: 80 WHIP: 60
Points W: 9 SV: 1 K: 9 ERA: 10 WHIP: 8 Pitching: 32 - 37
Total Points: 76 - 86
You're strong acrossed the board here. If you're punting saves in a h2h league that makes a bit more sense...in a roto you'd have to really scramble for saves to make things up. Otherwise you've given yourself a good shot at winning 9/10 categories a week in a h2h league. It's a solid all-around team.
how the hell did you make that formula?
it is ingenious. and you have major kudos.
Actually, it's not much of a formula at all. GoToWarMissAgnes ran a thread a year or two ago where he collected about 200+ results from different 12 team 5x5 yahoo-style roto leagues. Then he took the results and figured out the 90th, 80th, 70th, etc percentiles for the league. I simply take the projections from Rotowire (and now Baseball Prospectus this year) and compute the team totals based on those projections. Then I see where they fit in (80th percentile for example), multiply that by the total possible points and voila, projected standings. It really wasn't all that hard...just time consuming to get the spreadsheet quick and easy for me to use.