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6 Mock Drafts

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6 Mock Drafts

Postby Diamond Miners » Fri Jan 26, 2007 12:59 am

I've been putting together a spreadsheet of 6 mock drafts and thought I'd post a little something on it while I'm still working on it. I plan to eventually have 10 or 12 mock drafts. Mostly just for fun, but also to see before my draft where some players are being drafted. Every draft is different, but if I have the high, low and average draft positions it might make it a bit easier for me during the draft. Afterall, isn't the idea to wait as long as possible to select the best players you want for your team?

Here are the mocks I've used.
Mock #1 Sportingnews.com held 12/05/06
Mock #2 Fantasy Baseball Café - Holiday Mock held 12/15/06 thru still going
Mock #3 Fantasy Baseball Café - Cafeholics held 01/07/07 thru still going
Mock #4 CBS Sportsline.com held 12/15/06
Mock #5 Mock Draft Central held 12/12/06
Mock #6 Mock Draft Central held 1/17/07

Numbers 1, 4, 5, & 6 are considered "expert drafts"

For example, I'm in a H2H league, and to me a certain pitcher has some good value. I can see that he's gone as high as #143 and as low as #253 with an average draft position of #177. For me in a 10 team league, that puts him at the end of the 17th round. If he's there in the 15th or 16th round I might just decide to take him. I can even sort it and see that he's typically the 43rd SP drafted. Nice to know that once the people listed at #30 start being drafted I should see where I'm at and if I want to take him soon before someone else does.

Anyways, so just a taste of what I've been working on, I'll post the top 30 players based on their average draft position (and what there avg draft position is)

Draft Number - Player - Avg Draft Position
1 -A.Pujols- 1.00
2 -A Rod- 3.50
3 -A.Soriano- 4.17
4 -J.Santana- 4.50
5 -R.Howard- 5.50
6 -J.Reyes- 6.00
7 -C.Utley- 8.33
8 -D.Ortiz- 8.33
9 -M.Cabrera- 9.00
10 -C.Crawford- 10.17
11 -C.Beltran- 10.17
12 -V.Guerrero- 10.67
13 -D.Wright- 13.33
14 -L.Berkman- 15.83
15 -T.Hafner- 18.00
16 -M.Teixeira- 19.17
17 -G.Sizemore- 20.00
18 -D.Jeter- 20.33
19 -M.Ramirez- 20.67
20 -Ca.Lee- 21.50
21 -M.Holliday- 23.83
22 -I.Suzuki- 24.00
23 -J.Morneau- 24.50
24 -M.Tejada- 26.33
25 -C.Carpenter- 26.83
26 -J.Bay- 27.50
27 -J.Rollins- 29.00
28 -H.Ramirez- 29.17
29 -D.Lee- 30.00
30 -J.Mauer- 30.67
Good luck, feel free to PM me
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Postby j24jags » Fri Jan 26, 2007 1:15 am

Good stuff ;-D

The more mocks, the fewer guys will be out of place, so the rankings look pretty accurate.
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Postby Snakes Gould » Fri Jan 26, 2007 3:01 am

im going to say the holiday mock is the best one out of all of them :-b ;-) B-)
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Re: 6 Mock Drafts

Postby chris8 » Fri Jan 26, 2007 5:25 am

Cool, should be interesting to see the final results.

May I just add something, though?

Diamond Miners wrote:
Here are the mocks I've used.
Mock #1 Sportingnews.com held 12/05/06
Mock #2 Fantasy Baseball Café - Holiday Mock held 12/15/06 thru still going
Mock #3 Fantasy Baseball Café - Cafeholics held 01/07/07 thru still going
Mock #4 CBS Sportsline.com held 12/15/06
Mock #5 Mock Draft Central held 12/12/06
Mock #6 Mock Draft Central held 1/17/07

Numbers 1, 4, 5, & 6 are considered "expert drafts"

Numbers 2 & 3 are expert drafts

:-D
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Postby rotoquest » Fri Jan 26, 2007 7:48 am

Excellent Post! I have been doing the same as well, and using the average draft position at MDC over time to see who's stock is rising and who's is falling. Its too earlty for significant drops, but some notables are chone figgins, juan pierre and corey patterson. Figgins & Pierre have dropped about a half of a round, while patterson has dropped almost two rounds. Did people initially overestimate these speedsters worth or will they rebound?
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Postby flbtank » Fri Jan 26, 2007 8:45 am

Not to avoid the speedsters dropping comment...but I do a similar thing but let ESPN do all the work. Having their ADP for their 1000+ drafts is a great tool.

In the past I have aggregated and averged about a dozen or so sites projections...that was also useful.
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Re: 6 Mock Drafts

Postby Diamond Miners » Fri Jan 26, 2007 9:16 am

chris8 wrote:Numbers 1, 4, 5, & 6 are considered "expert drafts"

Numbers 2 & 3 are expert draft[/quote]

By no means did I mean to offend anybody, I just do not know who many people on this forum are. I tend to leave the expert title for those who are paid to play fantasy baseabll. :-°

And if anybody has a mock draft that I can include, please feel free to post a link to it. And yes, Yahoo does the same thing ESPN does. But typically my league starts drafting before many teams start there draft, plus entering it in you tend to "learn" it a bit more, well at least I do.

Thanks for the feedback.
Good luck, feel free to PM me
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Postby StlSluggers » Fri Jan 26, 2007 9:20 am

Good stuff, except for the part where we were passed over with the expert comment.

:-[ :-D

Might I suggest adding a high/low stat next to each player's ADP? It's nice to know that Hafner has averaged being the 18th pick, but it's even nicer to know that he's averaged the 18th while going 14th and 26th in his two biggest extremes.

Or you could just add the standard deviation. If you're doing any of this in Excel, putting those numbers in is as easy as min/max or stdev...

;-D
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Re: 6 Mock Drafts

Postby chris8 » Fri Jan 26, 2007 10:32 am

Diamond Miners wrote:
chris8 wrote:Numbers 2 & 3 are expert draft


By no means did I mean to offend anybody, I just do not know who many people on this forum are. I tend to leave the expert title for those who are paid to play fantasy baseabll. :-°

And if anybody has a mock draft that I can include, please feel free to post a link to it. And yes, Yahoo does the same thing ESPN does. But typically my league starts drafting before many teams start there draft, plus entering it in you tend to "learn" it a bit more, well at least I do.

Thanks for the feedback.

Hey, no worries, I wasn't at all offended!

It was a tongue-in-cheek comment, hence the :-D

I'm seriously looking forward to seeing your full analysis ;-D
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Re: 6 Mock Drafts

Postby bigken117 » Fri Jan 26, 2007 11:21 am

chris8 wrote:
Diamond Miners wrote:
chris8 wrote:Numbers 2 & 3 are expert draft


By no means did I mean to offend anybody, I just do not know who many people on this forum are. I tend to leave the expert title for those who are paid to play fantasy baseabll. :-°

And if anybody has a mock draft that I can include, please feel free to post a link to it. And yes, Yahoo does the same thing ESPN does. But typically my league starts drafting before many teams start there draft, plus entering it in you tend to "learn" it a bit more, well at least I do.

Thanks for the feedback.

Hey, no worries, I wasn't at all offended!

It was a tongue-in-cheek comment, hence the :-D

I'm seriously looking forward to seeing your full analysis ;-D


Since I do a lot of work on my team from work, where I'm getting paid, I like to think I get paid to play fantasy baseball :-b

Number three is definitely the expertest of all mocks ;-D
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