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Pitchers switching leagues

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Pitchers switching leagues

Postby RugbyD » Wed Dec 06, 2006 11:42 pm

with all the pitching movement I wondered if there is a generally accepted number for how much ERA you gain/lose moving from one league to another? Like if a 4.20 ERA in the AL would roughly have been a 3.70 in the NL or something like that.
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Postby Rubidium » Wed Dec 06, 2006 11:50 pm

I remember a thread from about a year ago that showed a switch from the AL to the NL was roughly equivalent to a .40 ERA and a .05 WHIP. I'll see if I can find it again.

edit: http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=101958&highlight=
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Postby wrveres » Sat Dec 09, 2006 4:09 pm

Rubidium wrote:I remember a thread from about a year ago that showed a switch from the AL to the NL was roughly equivalent to a .40 ERA and a .05 WHIP. I'll see if I can find it again.

edit: http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=101958&highlight=


solid find ;-D

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Postby Niffoc4 » Sat Dec 09, 2006 10:48 pm

Nate Silver mentioned on Baseball Prospectus unfiltered that Ted Lilly's ERA in PECOTA changed from a predicted 4.65 (I think) to like a 4.17 with the Cubs. Can we say sleeper? Lilly is a starter I will be targeting...
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Postby GotowarMissAgnes » Sat Dec 09, 2006 11:13 pm

Keep in mind that you have to consider park effects, too. Shouldn't be a problem with Lilly, but don't just assume league change is the only factor.
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Postby looptid » Tue Dec 12, 2006 10:25 pm

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=46

PECOTA pegs the AL as being 0.25 points of ERA tougher than the NL before looking at park factors or the addition of the designated hitter (so just quality of opponents faced).
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Postby J35J » Wed Dec 13, 2006 2:46 pm

Nothing is set in stone. I generally like the AL to NL movement but what happened to Hudson? There are always exceptions, obviously, so don't get too excited about every player that changes leagues.


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Postby acsguitar » Wed Dec 13, 2006 2:52 pm

J35J wrote:Nothing is set in stone. I generally like the AL to NL movement but what happened to Hudson? There are always exceptions, obviously, so don't get too excited about every player that changes leagues.


Jason


well Hudson moved from facing the Mariners, Angels, Ranger I think to facing the Mets, Phillys, Marlins,

That and he was overrated
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