Morneau had an amazing year in 2006. But very few people saw prior to 2006 he would put up numbers like that. The question is, in Was this performance a peak in his development, a flat line or the a part of a rising slope?
AVG .321
HR 34
RBI 130
However his career seasonal average looks something like
AVG .277
HR 31
RBI 111
My feelings are his avg will fall as will his RBIs. Mauer can't keep up that avg and performance with the rigors of catching. Cuddyer also had a season greater than expectations. His HR totals will improve.
Something like .299/37/107 RBI
Last edited by roninmedia on Fri Oct 27, 2006 2:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
He'll be about the same. He struggled in his sophomore season in 2005, and I think part of the reason was due to injury. Before that year, we were expecting these type of numbers, and he delivered in 2006. I can see the average falling a little, but he's a threat to his 35-40 HRs each year, with the number of RBI depending on who's in front of him.
His BABIP was tad high so the BA will definitely come down. What helped Morneau the most is his production against lefties in 06. If he can keep up that pace, then there is no reason to think why he can't repeat. However I think he was a tad over his head in 06 and a slightly regression should be expected.
Well when he came up people were projecting the kind of numbers he put up this season. He was really hot for the first month or two his first full year, then collapsed for the rest of the season as he was struggling with injuries. So these numbers aren't out of nowhere or anything. That said, I expect a regression, but only minimal.
roninmedia wrote:Morneau had an amazing year in 2006. But very few people saw prior to 2006 he would put up numbers like that.
Actually a lot of people predicted this level of production two seasons ago. Then when he got injured and batted 239, everyone forgot how good he was suppose to be. Prediction: Power Up. Average: Down a little (career 300 hitter in the minors).
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roninmedia wrote:Morneau had an amazing year in 2006. But very few people saw prior to 2006 he would put up numbers like that.
Actually a lot of people predicted this level of production two seasons ago. Then when he got injured and batted 239, everyone forgot how good he was suppose to be. Prediction: Power Up. Average: Down a little (career 300 hitter in the minors).
2006 was my first year playing fantasy baseball. What I knew about him before was what the magazines and cheat sheets projected.
I think he'll produce or outproduce his power numbers if they are able to move him up to 4th in the order instead of 5th. Plus, he shouldn't have as slow of a start as he did which will help his compilation numbers. I do not like Cuddyer hitting 4th. But I think Morneau's average dips below .300 but with more power.
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by roninmedia » Fri Oct 27, 2006 2:15 pm 
