buffalobillsrul2002 wrote:I don't know. I think Soriano being in a contract year might have a big dropoff in his HR and SB. Soriano said late in the year that he was going for 40/40, and in September, he ran pretty much every time he was on base, regardless of whether everybody in the ballpark knew he was going. Also, he ran whether or not it was good for the team if he ran. This may have had something to do with him wanting a bigger contract..... Sorinao is pretty much impossible to predict. Where he goes and what position (batting order AND team AND fielding position) will have a big impact on where he goes.
I think it was more to do with Soriano being on a last placed team, with nothing to play for, so him going for 40-40 was the only exciting thing happening to the team, to draw fans to the ballpark. I certainly wouldn't expect him to be allowed to do that on a contender.
Also, recall (and this is important, and I don't think anyone's touched on it) that he had 130 games hitting leadoff, if he goes anywhere else I doubt that happens, so he'll get fewer AB (he doubled his 2005 walk total this year and still got more AB), so less chance to get on base. (46 HR and <100 RBI? Major misuse imho).
I'd feel certain his SB, HR and R will be down this coming season, though his RBI will likely be up if he's hitting mid order. You can probably take at least 30 HR and 20SB to the bank, which in my eyes still makes him a first rounder, but I don't think he'll be worth a top 3-4 pick.