....like I said, I guess I'm just a different kind of animal when it comes to this.
Also I would feel like I didn't "do my job" or had someone else draft for me if I didn't do it the way I do it. If all I did was bring a magazine to the draft or print off "Rototimes" rankings with a few scratch marks on them and bring them to the draft then you might as well be a noob or do an auto draft or something. My wife could go grab a mag or some "experts" rankings/projections and draft a good team and thats annoying to me. I like to feel like I did it on my own without the help of the so called "experts". I like to feel like I'M the expert and to rely on myself. I win because of MY decisions and lose because of MY decisions. The more I think about it the more I'm suprised more people aren't like me......
But hey thats just me....... I'm the ugly duckling when it comes to this I guess, which is fine with me!
No one says use that sheet as the bible. It is a guide. You black list players you do not like , move guys up you think are breakout candidates, make decisions based on position or potential, etc. There are a lot of factors that come into play. Only a fool would even use his own projection sheet as a blind guide in a draft or even worse an auction. That list is a guideline for the relative value of a player against his peers.
For ex., If I have Smoltz projected as a 25 dollar pitcher based on his numbers in an auction, does that mean I blindly will bid up to 25 on him and stop? No of course not. Does that mean that if I have him at 25 and Rototimes has him at 23 we are really that much off...no of course not. They are estimates. You have to judge how much Smoltz is worth to you, what other pitchers are left, how much money you have left, what your opponents are up to, etc.
In a draft it is a similar thing. Can I reasobably expect Smoltz to get back to me if I bypass him her in round 6? What happens if someone else gets him and what is my fallback, etc. The sheets are guides to relative values of one player versus another and a guide that should show you major differences in values pretty clearly.
If you read too much into them you are being foolish. But they are a useful tool. I think the point here is that getting a list from a reputable provider and tweaking things to your liking is simply an easier and likel just as accurate way to go. After you tweak a list, itis not like that list is going to vary by any significant % from one you would have done yourself assuming you wanted to spend the time. Again, show me how your estiation of how many HRs and rbis Arod will have for 2007 is going to be any more accuarte than someone elses.
40/130 or 35/115? I dunno. Your guess is as good as mine. Yet it is more than 10% of a variaton.