PlayingWithFire wrote:what is your thought on Jose Castillo?
There's a good chance he doesn't start next year with Bautista possibly moving to 3B and Sanchez sliding to 2B. I'd rather play Sanchez at SS and sit superstud Jack Wilson, but I think Castillo will sit the most.
I wasn't nuts about your trade of Humberto Sanchez (who you don't like) for Castillo, but if you have a gut feeling about Castillo, you have to go for it. He does have a little upside that some people like being 26 years old next year with potential 15-20 HR pop, but batting low in the Pirate order will always help limit him.
I'm not worried about Weeks at all. Take out the freak injury and extrapolate his 359 ABs to 550. You're looking at:
.280, 112 runs, 12 HR, 54 RBI, 29 SB in his first "full" pro season.
Obviously you're making assumptions when you just add 200 ABs to a guy's line, but that was the pace he was on. So, at the very least you're getting very nice run totals, good SB totals, and a solid batting average. This is a guy who will slug more as the years go on too. He has at every level. My early projection (assuming he stays leadoff):
.285, 110 runs, 20 HR, 65 RBI, 35 SB
If he doesn't hit leadoff, move the RBI total up.
Looking at the young upside (Weeks, Kinsler, Kendrick, Barfield, Uggla), and the potential for a "rebound" pick like Giles or Lugo to drop, I'll be waiting on 2B unless I take Utley. I'm not attached enough to the Cano/Iguchi/Kent/Roberts types to jump on them early. I think my plan would be to take one of those young cats and sort of "gamble" at the 2B position.
I'm going to cross the 2B position off my draft lists, and just wait till the end of the draft. Chances are, some great 2B will be found on the FA list for next year. Not much point in wasting a draft pick on one, even for Utley IMO.
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike
1) I'm excited about Jeff Kent for next year. I think he's a guy that is going to fall pretty far in drafts. People will look at his raw numbers and injuries from '06 and stay away from him. I'm not saying he's going to be amazing, but if you look at his per game (or per AB) numbers from this year, they aren't terrible.
2) Don't sleep on Freddy Sanchez. Now it's true, he may revert to the mean next year and do absolutely nothing. But...he had 85 runs and 85 RBIs this year, despite missing a lot of AB's early in the season. He also had 53! doubles. You always hear that doubles hitters can turn into HR hitters, so it's not out of the realm of possibility to see a line of .315 - 90 runs - 90 RBIs - 12 HRs. That would be just fine for my 2b.
Scooter1027 wrote:Looking at the young upside (Weeks, Kinsler, Kendrick, Barfield, Uggla), and the potential for a "rebound" pick like Giles or Lugo to drop, I'll be waiting on 2B unless I take Utley. I'm not attached enough to the Cano/Iguchi/Kent/Roberts types to jump on them early. I think my plan would be to take one of those young cats and sort of "gamble" at the 2B position.
See I was kinda viewing it just the opposite. I was thinking that these young guys would be hyped up for next year and possibly be picked before the more stable guys in Cano/Iguchi/Kent/Roberts.....but I guess I will have to wait and see.
You say you will wait on one of the young guys and I'm thinking that it may just be the opposite in that you might be able to grab one of the vets a little later than the young guys...