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Projections for Rocco Baldelli...

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Postby Yoda » Sun Oct 08, 2006 9:34 pm

elltrain22 wrote:Ya gotta take in to account that he is my fav' player, so, to me, the sky's the limit. Am I be a little unrealistic, maybe so, but Baldelli, we all can agree, has the talent & the ability to put up eyepopping numbers. First off, I am not worried about his health. He had some issues when he 1st got back, but that was Maddon being extra careful. As we all saw, when he finally got to 100% in August & September, we all saw the real deal Baldelli. I whole-heartedly think he can over .300, possibly 310-320 range. His homerun total next year should be around 20-25, but could be 30+ hr's. (He did 10 in the month of September). RBI's are a question mark. If he hits leadoff, could be around 85-90, but if he slides to the #2 or 3 hole (which if he shows good power is enevitable), then his RBI total could be 100+. He should score over 100 runs easy, and his sb's should be over 20, but could be in the 30's. Am I superfan being super dilusional, am I smokin some strong gonga', or am I making some sense. Final point I will make are his numbers the last 2 months of the year.

AB's/Hits AVG. HR RBI SB Runs

186/60 .323 11 28 7 32

if we take these numbers and take in to account a full season here is what we get...

AB's/Hits AVG. HR RBI SB Runs

600/194 .323 36 91 23 104

also, 600 ab's is taking into account he plays about 145-150 games...


You have to be careful extrapolating stats from half a season. I do think he can be a special player but let's not throw around MVP numbers until he proves he can stay healthy for one season.
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Postby elltrain22 » Sun Oct 08, 2006 10:11 pm

he was healthy his 1st 2 seasons.
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Postby davidmarver » Mon Oct 09, 2006 1:13 am

I have him for a handful of more years at $15 and if he gets .300-20-20, the other two categories I could care less about.
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Postby RJ24VC15 » Mon Oct 09, 2006 1:19 am

I'm worried about his health. It's hard to project him over 162 games when it's no sure thing he plays close to that many.
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Postby jondunc » Mon Oct 09, 2006 9:17 am

When predicting Baldelli's numbers, I think of an injury-prone Grady Sizemore hitting in an inferior lineup (as compared to Cleveland's). As such, I would say he'll produce more like:

98 runs, 18 hrs, 68 rbis, 20 sbs in ~115-120 games.
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Postby raiders_umpire » Mon Oct 09, 2006 10:39 am

Yoda wrote:
elltrain22 wrote:Ya gotta take in to account that he is my fav' player, so, to me, the sky's the limit. Am I be a little unrealistic, maybe so, but Baldelli, we all can agree, has the talent & the ability to put up eyepopping numbers. First off, I am not worried about his health. He had some issues when he 1st got back, but that was Maddon being extra careful. As we all saw, when he finally got to 100% in August & September, we all saw the real deal Baldelli. I whole-heartedly think he can over .300, possibly 310-320 range. His homerun total next year should be around 20-25, but could be 30+ hr's. (He did 10 in the month of September). RBI's are a question mark. If he hits leadoff, could be around 85-90, but if he slides to the #2 or 3 hole (which if he shows good power is enevitable), then his RBI total could be 100+. He should score over 100 runs easy, and his sb's should be over 20, but could be in the 30's. Am I superfan being super dilusional, am I smokin some strong gonga', or am I making some sense. Final point I will make are his numbers the last 2 months of the year.

AB's/Hits AVG. HR RBI SB Runs

186/60 .323 11 28 7 32

if we take these numbers and take in to account a full season here is what we get...

AB's/Hits AVG. HR RBI SB Runs

600/194 .323 36 91 23 104

also, 600 ab's is taking into account he plays about 145-150 games...


You have to be careful extrapolating stats from half a season.




Real careful.


These 2 months that you are using he was on fire. He would definitely have a slump or 2 in a 162 game season. I would love for your numbers to be true for next year, but then I realize that you have to be a tid bit realistic as well, and this is coming from a Drays fan.
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Postby elltrain22 » Mon Oct 09, 2006 8:03 pm

as a Dee Rays fant you should know that he made adjustments to his stance, his swing, and his approach at the plate. 1 week, 2 weeks, are streaks, but 2 months of straight up mashing the ball, is not a streak, its called being a good hitter. Have we all forgotten that Baldelli got almost 200 hits as a rook??? Yes, I sound like a fan, and yes Baldelli is my fav' player, but I know what I am talking about here. Next year...

.310avg, 25 hr's, 95 rbi's, 23 sb's, 105 runs.... (will play at least 140 games)

write it down...
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Postby Trot Nixon » Mon Oct 09, 2006 9:02 pm

Could he be compared to last years Matt Holliday only faster??
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Postby elltrain22 » Mon Oct 09, 2006 9:42 pm

could be, but less power & yeah more speed.
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Postby Morrison8312 » Tue Oct 10, 2006 2:07 am

davidmarver wrote:I have him for a handful of more years at $15 and if he gets .300-20-20, the other two categories I could care less about.


Try having him at $6 for 4 more years ;-D
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