CadensDad wrote:HOWARD this kid wont even come close to his 06 numbers
Dye, Thomas, Holliday
What makes you or anyone else think that Howard wont come close to his 2006 numbers? The guy has gotten no respect year in and year out...always a fluke...no way he hits like that next year. Its been every year. First it was: he'll never hit more than like 30 HR in the MLB (after his 46 HR MiL season). Then it was stuff about his ROY season being a fluke. Im not saying everyone but there was a steady divide at the cafe about Howard. Many said that he K's too much and probably wouldnt hit better than .270 with 30-35 this year. He did a little bit better. I just dont understand why people arent giving him credit. I agree that he isnt a top 3 pick next year but youd be an idiot to let him slide past the middle of the first.
Holliday? If Jason Bay goes first round last year, Holliday is going to be a value pick in my eyes. No one seems to think much of his ability which may allow him to slide into the third round. I will gladly take Holliday in the third....maybe even late second round.
Also, you gotta love the "Utley is over valued posts." He is only the best fantasy 2B...by far. No one really is going to compare to him next year in fantasy production. He finished as the 13th rated fantasy player at thin position (not as thin as previous years). With Michael Cuddyer the second most productive this year and finishing at 74, Utley represents amazing production and a better pick than David Wright. If Utley is available at the back end of the first round, he is a solid pick up in my mind.
Overvalued in next years drafts:
Jason Bay. He is a great fantasy player but will probably be taken in the late first or early second in next year because people will still have him on their minds from 2006's drafts. Bay is a good fantasy OF but I see a guy like Holliday going later and putting up superior numbers.
I agree that Dye will be selected too early. Career year. I think Dye will be a great fit in early round 4. A great risk/reward pick sometime in the third. I watched a great deal of his games and he was locked in for most of the season. I dont know what he did, but he looked like a completely different player than previous years.
All Pitchers not named Johan. Pitchers are very very risky. It seems like 2-3 pitchers that are usually selected in the late 2nd-4th either go down with injuries or have terrible years. Ben Sheets, Peavy, Pedro, Prior, Harden, Halladay, etc are all past examples. Ive always succumbed to grabbing an ace in round 3 but Im going to change my ways. The risk seems too high...though I think Webb may be undervalued some next year (jjust a huntch).