* For starters, keep in mind that Felix Hernandez is a year and a half younger than Matt Cain.
* Hernandez ranked as high as Baseball America's No. 2 prospect entering 2005 and at the age of 18. Cain ranked as high as No. 10 when he was 20 for BA. Although these rankings are a little fuzzy to compare because each class of top prospects is different, I think it's fair to say that Hernandez has always been thought to have the heigher ceiling.
* They are both VERY (as in Cy Young potential) good. I think Hernandez will take it to the next level; Cain will keep it up.
I think Cain will be a little better in 2007, but after that, all bets are off. Hernandez still has the higher ceiling in my mind. There's no clear choice, you should just go with whomever you think fits best on your team or what your gut is telling you. Just be comfortable knowing that you can't really make a bad choice.
pretty much agree with shortsavage. If you are not contending next year. I'll probably take Felix' upside. If you are, Cain is probably better next year. Either way, I don't think you can go too wrong with either one. It might be the difference between Santana and Carpenter 3-4 years down the road. Cain is more of a sure thing right now but IMO not by much and Hernandez has higher ceilings
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His point is that if Hernandez is in a much tougher league, than that decreases his value, so he wouldn't be >>>> BECAUSE of being in a tougher league, it would have to be despite it.
I like Cain a ton, and he should continue to outperform Commoner Felix in the short term.
brewcrew4you wrote:His point is that if Hernandez is in a much tougher league, than that decreases his value, so he wouldn't be >>>> BECAUSE of being in a tougher league, it would have to be despite it.
I like Cain a ton, and he should continue to outperform Commoner Felix in the short term.
I'd keep Cain.
gotcha...my point was that he will put up better numbers DESPITE being in a tougher league