One thing to remember with Sheffield is that this is his contract year. So, unless he signs a one-year contract, I'd expect a fairly large decline from this year. He'll still be a top-10 OF, but not top-3 like this year.
JMO though
jdh wrote:Here's a list of some players that I am avoiding in drafts next year and think will be busts:
Pitchers:
2. Schmidt: performance way above anything he's ever done; this year is probably a career year and he has legit injury concerns.
Completely disagree. He is just coming into his own. If you look at his production as a Giant he has gotten better and better. This year he finally put everything together. Last year he didn't pitch well on the road (5.02 ERA) but this year he has pitched extremely well on the road. He reminds of Schilling in that he spent several years trying to harness great talent. Through age 30 Schilling's won-loss record was only 69-63.
Schmidt hasn't been hurt this year. Yes, he missed two starts to rest his arm but he wasn't injured.
I've seen him on TV several times. The problem I have with him is that he has never won more than 13 games before this season, has a history of serious arm problems, and if this is a breakout season, he's doing it at a very late age. Maybe he is a late bloomer like Schilling, but I would bet against it. I think he'll either spend signifigant time on the DL or have a major drop off next season. I just don't trust him.
jdh wrote:I've seen him on TV several times. The problem I have with him is that he has never won more than 13 games before this season, has a history of serious arm problems, and if this is a breakout season, he's doing it at a very late age. Maybe he is a late bloomer like Schilling, but I would bet against it. I think he'll either spend signifigant time on the DL or have a major drop off next season. I just don't trust him.
He was either a back of the rotation guy on Atlanta or on a terrible Pirates team. Not much chance for victories there. With the Giants, he is just coming into his own the past 2 years (including this 1). I have also never seen him bring the gas like he has these past 2 years. I say put him on your TO DRAFT list.
jdh.......I respect the way that you acquire and analyze numbers but in this instance, the numbers DO lie.
jdh wrote:I've seen him on TV several times. The problem I have with him is that he has never won more than 13 games before this season, has a history of serious arm problems, and if this is a breakout season, he's doing it at a very late age. Maybe he is a late bloomer like Schilling, but I would bet against it. I think he'll either spend signifigant time on the DL or have a major drop off next season. I just don't trust him.
The arm problems he had were many years ago. Since he joined the Giants in 2001 he is 34-13, 2.92 ERA, 9.12 Ks per 9 IP, 1.118 WHIP. The reasons he's only won 13 games before was because
1) arm problems at a young age
2) played for the Pirates for six seasons (main reason)
His breakout really started in 2001 when he joined the Giants but nobody noticed other than Giant's fans.
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by blankman » Fri Sep 05, 2003 6:39 pm 
