I guess the "experts" can't dig any deeper than overall ERA. This is from Eric Karabell's ESPN chat today:
rob (warwick): Eric, is the real Jorge Julio starting to reappear?
Eric Karabell: (10:11 AM ET ) I'd still say it's not a big deal, because every closer is entitled to a blowup or two, and really, last night was no blowup. Chase Utley might win player of July honors, he's been terrific, and he homered for the second time in the game to tie it. Julio's still safe. And if he's not, everyone likes to assume Brandon Medders is next in line, but I still think it'd be Brandon Lyon. By the way, Jose Valverde is not doing well in the minors."